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Prediction of the Impact of Increased Photovoltaics Power on the Swedish Daily Electricity Spot Price Pattern
Linköping University, Department of Mathematics, Applied Mathematics. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering.
2022 (English)Independent thesis Advanced level (degree of Master (Two Years)), 28 HE creditsStudent thesisAlternative title
Prediktion av påverkan från ökad solelproduktion på det dagliga elspotprismönstret i Sverige (Swedish)
Abstract [en]

As the demand for electricity increases throughout the globe while we want to reduce the use of fossil fuels, the need for renewable energy sources is bigger than ever. In countries where solar power makes up a large part of the total energy production, the overall electricity spot price level has become lower. This thesis investigates the underlying mechanism that drives the energy market, and in specific, how the solar power impacts the electricity spot price. We present results from studies made in other markets, and introduce a Regime Switching model for explaining the impact in Sweden. We show that an increase of photovoltaics power has a price lowering effect on the daily price pattern in price area SE3 and SE4.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2022. , p. 65
Keywords [en]
Regime Switching, Photovoltaics, Electricity Spot Price, Cannibalization Effect, Merit Order Effect
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-185541ISRN: LiTH-MAT-EX--2022/03--SEOAI: oai:DiVA.org:liu-185541DiVA, id: diva2:1664828
External cooperation
Becquerel Sweden
Subject / course
Mathematical Statistics
Supervisors
Examiners
Available from: 2022-06-08 Created: 2022-06-05 Last updated: 2022-06-08Bibliographically approved

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Applied MathematicsFaculty of Science & Engineering
Probability Theory and Statistics

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CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • oxford
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf