liu.seSearch for publications in DiVA
Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • oxford
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Identifying the causes of the bullwhip effect by exploiting control block diagram manipulation with analogical reasoning
Cardiff University, Wales.
University of Kent, England.
Linköping University, Department of Management and Engineering, Production Economics. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering. Jonköping University, Sweden.
Cardiff University, Wales.
2017 (English)In: European Journal of Operational Research, ISSN 0377-2217, E-ISSN 1872-6860, Vol. 263, no 1, p. 240-246Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Senior managers when solving problems commonly use analogical reasoning, allowing a current target problem situation to be compared to a valid previous experienced source problem from which a potential set of candidate solutions may be identified. We use a single-echelon of the often-quoted Forrester (1961) production-distribution system as a case target model of a complex production and inventory control system that exhibits bullwhip. Initial analogical reasoning based on surface similarity would presuppose a classic control engineering source model consisting of a phase-lag feedback system for which it is difficult to derive the transfer function. Simulation alone would have to be relied on to mitigate the bullwhip effect. By using z-transform block diagram manipulation, the model for a single echelon, consisting of 17 difference equations with five feedback loops is shown to have exact analogy to Burns and Sivazlians (1978) second order system that has no feedback. Therefore, this more appropriate source model is based on a deeper understanding of the behavioral similarities which indicates that the bullwhip effect is not in the case of the target model due to feedback control but due to a first-order derivative, phase advance, term in the feed forward numerator path. Hence a more appropriate candidate solution can be found via the use of a recovery filter. An interdisciplinary framework for exploiting control engineering block diagram manipulation, utilizing analogical reasoning, in a practical setting is presented, as is an example in a contemporary supply chain situation. (C) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV , 2017. Vol. 263, no 1, p. 240-246
Keywords [en]
(P) Systems dynamics; Forrester effect; System simplification; z-transform; Simulation
National Category
Computational Mathematics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-139513DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2017.05.014ISI: 000405157300017OAI: oai:DiVA.org:liu-139513DiVA, id: diva2:1130201
Note

Funding Agencies|Cardiff Business Schools research committee

Available from: 2017-08-08 Created: 2017-08-08 Last updated: 2017-08-08

Open Access in DiVA

No full text in DiVA

Other links

Publisher's full text

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Wikner, Joakim
By organisation
Production EconomicsFaculty of Science & Engineering
In the same journal
European Journal of Operational Research
Computational Mathematics

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar

doi
urn-nbn

Altmetric score

doi
urn-nbn
Total: 156 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • oxford
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf