We investigate the impact of foreign and domestic economic policy uncertainty (EPU) shocks on the UK economy. Simulations with a structural VAR model indicate that domestic industrial production declines after a shock to the EPU index in the US. On the contrary, disturbances to domestic uncertainty are an important source of real exchange rate fluctuations. Historical decomposition shows that a surge in domestic EPU after Brexit referendum was the reason behind a massive depreciation of the British pound. These results are robust to different model specifications. (C) 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Funding Agencies|Jan Wallander and Tom Hedelius Foundations, Sweden