liu.seSearch for publications in DiVA
Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • oxford
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Evaluating model calibration in classification
Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden; Veoneer Inc., Stockholm, Sweden.
Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.
Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.
Linköping University, Department of Computer and Information Science, The Division of Statistics and Machine Learning. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering.
Show others and affiliations
2019 (English)In: Proceedings of the 22nd International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics, 2019, Vol. 89Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Probabilistic classifiers output a probability distribution on target classes rather than just a class prediction. Besides providing a clear separation of prediction and decision making, the main advantage of probabilistic models is their ability to represent uncertainty about predictions. In safetycritical applications, it is pivotal for a model to possess an adequate sense of uncertainty, which for probabilistic classifiers translates into outputting probability distributions that are consistent with the empirical frequencies observed from realized outcomes. A classifier with such a property is called calibrated. In this work, we develop a general theoretical calibration evaluation framework grounded in probability theory, and point out subtleties present in model calibration evaluation that lead to refined interpretations of existing evaluation techniques. Lastly, we propose new ways to quantify and visualize miscalibration in probabilistic classification, including novel multidimensional reliability diagrams.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2019. Vol. 89
Series
Proceedings of Machine Learning Research, E-ISSN 2640-3498 ; 89
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-159497ISI: 000509687903053OAI: oai:DiVA.org:liu-159497DiVA, id: diva2:1413986
Conference
22nd International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics, Naha, Okinawa, Japan, 16-18 April 2019
Funder
Swedish Foundation for Strategic Research , ICA16-0015Swedish Research Council, 2016-04278Available from: 2019-08-09 Created: 2020-03-11 Last updated: 2021-07-13Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

No full text in DiVA

Authority records

Lindsten, Fredrik

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Lindsten, Fredrik
By organisation
The Division of Statistics and Machine LearningFaculty of Science & Engineering
Probability Theory and Statistics

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar

urn-nbn

Altmetric score

urn-nbn
Total: 193 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • oxford
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf