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The role of underground storage in the dynamics of the US natural gas market: A threshold model analysis
SGH Warsaw Sch Econ, Poland.
Linköping University, Department of Management and Engineering, Economics. Linköping University, Faculty of Arts and Sciences.
2020 (English)In: Energy Economics, ISSN 0140-9883, E-ISSN 1873-6181, Vol. 87, article id UNSP 104713Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Natural gas is an important source of energy in the global economy, hence understanding the drivers of its prices is of significant interest for the many economic agents. This paper investigates the role of inventories for the dynamics of the U.S. natural gas market. Our contribution is twofold. First, within the threshold structural VAR framework we demonstrate that in a low inventory regime spot prices are more responsive to economic fundamentals in comparison to situation in which the inventories are high. Second, we present evidence that the level of natural gas inventories have a significant effect on the relationship between spot and futures prices. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
ELSEVIER , 2020. Vol. 87, article id UNSP 104713
Keywords [en]
Natural gas market; Structural VAR; Threshold models; Futures market
National Category
Economic History
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-166511DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2020.104713ISI: 000536091600024OAI: oai:DiVA.org:liu-166511DiVA, id: diva2:1443345
Note

Funding Agencies|National Science Centre [2017/25/B/HS4/00156]; Jan Wallander and Tom Hedelius Foundations [W2016:0364:1]

Available from: 2020-06-18 Created: 2020-06-18 Last updated: 2020-06-18

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