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Importance sampling type estimators based on approximate marginal Markov chain Monte Carlo
Univ Jyvaskyla, Finland.
Linköping University, Department of Science and Technology, Media and Information Technology. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering. Univ Jyvaskyla, Finland.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-7130-793X
Univ Jyvaskyla, Finland; Newcastle Univ, England.
2020 (English)In: Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, ISSN 0303-6898, E-ISSN 1467-9469, Vol. 47, no 4, p. 1339-1376Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

We consider importance sampling (IS) type weighted estimators based on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) targeting an approximate marginal of the target distribution. In the context of Bayesian latent variable models, the MCMC typically operates on the hyperparameters, and the subsequent weighting may be based on IS or sequential Monte Carlo (SMC), but allows for multilevel techniques as well. The IS approach provides a natural alternative to delayed acceptance (DA) pseudo-marginal/particle MCMC, and has many advantages over DA, including a straightforward parallelization and additional flexibility in MCMC implementation. We detail minimal conditions which ensure strong consistency of the suggested estimators, and provide central limit theorems with expressions for asymptotic variances. We demonstrate how our method can make use of SMC in the state space models context, using Laplace approximations and time-discretized diffusions. Our experimental results are promising and show that the IS-type approach can provide substantial gains relative to an analogous DA scheme, and is often competitive even without parallelization.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
WILEY , 2020. Vol. 47, no 4, p. 1339-1376
Keywords [en]
Delayed acceptance; importance sampling; Markov chain Monte Carlo; sequential Monte Carlo; pseudo-marginal method; unbiased estimator
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-171041DOI: 10.1111/sjos.12492ISI: 000575018600001OAI: oai:DiVA.org:liu-171041DiVA, id: diva2:1485222
Note

Funding Agencies|Academy of FinlandAcademy of Finland [274740, 284513, 312605, 315619]

Available from: 2020-11-01 Created: 2020-11-01 Last updated: 2022-10-28

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CiteExportLink to record
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Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • oxford
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
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