Analysing and forecasting co-movement between innovative and traditional financial assets based on complex network and machine learningShow others and affiliations
2023 (English)In: Research In International Business and Finance, ISSN 0275-5319, E-ISSN 1878-3384, Vol. 64, article id 101846Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]
We study the co-movement between innovative financial assets (i.e., FinTech-related stocks, green bonds and cryptocurrencies) and traditional assets. We construct a co-movement mode transmission network and discuss the network topology during the pre-COVID-19 and COVID-19 periods. We extract network topology information to predict the co-movement mode by machine learning algorithms. We further propose dynamic trading strategies based on the co-movement mode prediction. The empirical results show that (i) the evolution of co-movement is dominated by some key modes, and the mode transmission relies on intermediate modes and shows certain periodicity; (ii) the co-movement relationships are influenced by the ongoing COVID-19 outbreak; and (iii) the novel approach, which combines complex network and machine learning, is superior in co-movement mode prediction and can effectively bring diversification benefits. Our work provides valuable insights for market participants.
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
ELSEVIER , 2023. Vol. 64, article id 101846
Keywords [en]
Co-movement; Innovative financial assets; Complex network; Machine learning; Prediction
National Category
Business Administration
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-191047DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2022.101846ISI: 000902018500009OAI: oai:DiVA.org:liu-191047DiVA, id: diva2:1727888
Note
Funding Agencies|National Natural Science Foundation of China; National Social Science Foundation of China; Hunan Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China; Huxiang Youth Talent Support Program; [71971079]; [71871088]; [72271087]; [21ZDA114]; [19BTJ018]; [21JJ20019]
2023-01-172023-01-172023-01-17