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Toward Objective Assessment of Simulation Predictive Capability
Saab AB Aeronautics, Linköping, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-5773-3518
Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute (VTI), Linköping, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-3120-1361
Linköping University, Department of Management and Engineering, Fluid and Mechatronic Systems. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering.
Linköping University, Department of Management and Engineering, Fluid and Mechatronic Systems. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2315-0680
2023 (English)In: Journal of Aerospace Information Systems, ISSN 1940-3151, Vol. 20, no 3, p. 1-16Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Two different metrics quantifying model and simulator predictive capability are formulated and evaluated; both metrics exploit results from conducted validation experiments where simulation results are compared to the corresponding measured quantities. The first metric is inspired by the modified nearest neighbor coverage metric and the second by the Kullback?Liebler divergence. The two different metrics are implemented in Python and in a here-developed general metamodel designed to be applicable for most physics-based simulation models. These two implementations together facilitate both offline and online metric evaluation. Additionally, a connection between the two, here separated, concepts of predictive capability and credibility is established and realized in the metamodel. The two implementations are, finally, evaluated in an aeronautical domain context.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics , 2023. Vol. 20, no 3, p. 1-16
National Category
Vehicle Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-191130DOI: 10.2514/1.I011153ISI: 000914113700001OAI: oai:DiVA.org:liu-191130DiVA, id: diva2:1728801
Note

Funding agencies: Vinnova; Saab Aeronautics; NFFP7 project Digital Twin for Automated Model Validation and Flight Test Evaluation

Available from: 2023-01-19 Created: 2023-01-19 Last updated: 2024-02-27Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. On the Realization of Credible Simulations in Aircraft Development: Efficient and Independent Validation Enabled by Automation
Open this publication in new window or tab >>On the Realization of Credible Simulations in Aircraft Development: Efficient and Independent Validation Enabled by Automation
2023 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Designing modern aircraft is not an easy task. Today, it is not enough to optimize aircraft subsystems at a subsystem level. Instead, a holistic approach is necessary whereby the constituent subsystems need to be designed for the best joint performance. The State-of-the-Art (SotA) in simulating and ex-changing simulation models is moving forward at a fast pace. As such, the feasible use of simulation models has increased and additional benefits can be exploited, such as analyzing coupled subsystems in simulators. Furthermore, if aircraft subsystem simulation models are to be utilized to their fullest extent, open-source tooling and the use of open standards, interoperability between domain specific modeling tools, alongside efficient and automated processes for model Verification and Validation (V&V) and credibility assessment are required.

The financial and safety related risks associated with aircraft development and operation require well founded design and operational decisions. If those decisions are to be founded upon information provided by models and simulators, then the credibility of that information needs to be assessed and communicated. Today, the large number of sensors available in modern aircraft enable model validation and credibility assessment on a different scale than what has been possible up to this point. This thesis aims to identify and address challenges to allow for automated, independent, and objective methods of integrating subsystem models into simulators while assessing and conveying the constituent models aggregated credibility.

The results of the work include a proposed method for presenting the individual models’ aggregated credibility in a simulator. As the communicated credibility of simulators here relies on the credibility of each included model, the assembly procedure itself cannot introduce unknown discrepancies with respect to the System of Interest (SoI). Available methods for the management, distribution, and accurate simulation of coupled models are therefore exploited and tailored to the applications of aircraft development under consideration. Finally, a framework for automated model validation is outlined and established that supports both on-line and on-line simulator credibility assessment.   

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Linköping: Linköping University Electronic Press, 2023. p. 341
Series
Linköping Studies in Science and Technology. Dissertations, ISSN 0345-7524 ; 2279
Keywords
Aircraft Vehicle Systems, Credibility Assessment, FMI, Interoperability, Modelica, Modeling and Simulation, Model integration, SSP
National Category
Embedded Systems
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-191132 (URN)10.3384/9789179295981 (DOI)9789179295974 (ISBN)9789179295981 (ISBN)
Public defence
2023-03-03, ACAS, A-building, Campus Valla, Linköping, 10:15 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Note

Funding agencies: INNOVA and Saab Aeronautics

Available from: 2023-01-19 Created: 2023-01-19 Last updated: 2023-01-19Bibliographically approved

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Hällqvist, RobertEek, MagnusBraun, RobertKrus, Petter

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