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Land-use impacts in transport appraisal
Centre for Transport Studies, Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9235-0232
Centre for Transport Studies, Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-8901-5978
Centre for Transport Studies, WSP Analysis & Strategy, Sweden.
Centre for Transport Studies, WSP Analysis & Strategy, Sweden.
2014 (English)In: Research in Transportation Economics, ISSN 0739-8859, E-ISSN 1875-7979, Vol. 47, p. 82-91Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Standard cost-benefit analysis (CBA) does not take into account induced demand due to relocation triggered by infrastructure investments. Using an integrated transport and land-use model calibrated for the Stockholm region, we explore whether this has any significant impact on the CBA outcome, and in particular on the relative ranking of rail and road investments. Our results indicate that induced demand has a larger impact on the benefit of rail investments than on the benefit of road investments. The effect on the relative ranking is still limited for two reasons. First, the number of houses that are built over 20 30 years is limited in comparison to the size of the existing housing stock. Second, the location of most of the new houses is not affected by any single infrastructure investment, since the latter has a marginal effect on total accessibility in a city with a mature transport system. A second aim of this paper is to investigate the robustness of the relative CBA ranking of rail and road investments, with respect to the planning policy in the region 25 years ahead. While the results suggest that this ranking is surprisingly robust, there is a tendency that the net benefit of rail investments is more sensitive to the future planning policy than road investments. Our results also underscore that the future land-use planning in the region in general has a considerably stronger impact on accessibility and car use than individual road or rail investments have.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2014. Vol. 47, p. 82-91
Keywords [en]
Cost benefit analysis, Land use planning, Transport infrastructure, Investment, Location, Demand (econ)
National Category
Transport Systems and Logistics
Research subject
10 Road: Transport, society, policy and planning
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-191462DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2014.09.021ISI: 000349567700009Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-84922792869OAI: oai:DiVA.org:liu-191462DiVA, id: diva2:1732748
Available from: 2017-09-06 Created: 2023-01-31

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Börjesson, Maria

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