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Vascular risk profiles for predicting outcome and long-term mortality in patients with idiopathic normal pressure hydrocephalus: comparison of clinical decision support tools
Umea Univ, Sweden.
Linköping University, Department of Health, Medicine and Caring Sciences, Division of Prevention, Rehabilitation and Community Medicine. Linköping University, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences. Region Östergötland, Primary Care Center, Primary Health Care Center Cityhälsan Centrum.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-0125-9589
Umea Univ, Sweden.
Umea Univ, Sweden.
2023 (English)In: Journal of Neurosurgery, ISSN 0022-3085, E-ISSN 1933-0693, Vol. 138, no 2, p. 476-482Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

OBJECTIVE Vascular risk factors (VRFs) may act synergistically, and clinical decision support tools (CDSTs) have been developed that present vascular risk as a summarized score. Because VRFs are a major issue in patients with idiopathic normal pressure hydrocephalus (INPH), a CDST may be useful in the diagnostic workup. The objective was to compare 4 CDSTs to determine which one most accurately predicts short-term outcome and 10-year mortality after CSF shunt surgery in INPH patients. METHODS One-hundred forty INPH patients who underwent CSF shunt surgery were included. For each patient, 4 CDST scores (Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation-Older Persons [SCORE-OP], Framingham Risk Score [FRS], Revised Framingham Stroke Risk Profile, and Kiefers Comorbidity Index [KCI]) were estimated. Short-term outcome (3 months after CSF shunt surgery) was defined on the basis of improvements in gait, Mini-Mental State Examination score, and modified Rankin Scale score. The 10-year mortality rate after surgery was noted. The CDSTs were compared by using Cox regression analysis, receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, and the chi-square test. RESULTS For 3 CDSTs, increased score was associated with increased risk of 10-year mortality. A 1-point increase in the FRS indicated a 2% higher risk of death within 10 years (HR 1.02, 95% CI 1.003-1.035, p = 0.021); SCORE-OP, 5% (HR 1.05, 95% CI 1.019-1.087, p = 0.002); and KCI, 12% (HR 1.12, 95% CI 1.03-1.219, p = 0.008). FRS predicted short-term outcome of surgery (p = 0.024). When the cutoff value was set to 32.5%, the positive predictive value was 80% and the negative predictive value was 48% (p = 0.012). CONCLUSIONS The authors recommend using FRS to predict short-term outcome and 10-year risk of mortality in INPH patients. The study indicated that extensive treatment of the risk factors of INPH may decrease risk of mortality. Clinical trial registration no.: NCT01850914 (ClinicalTrials.gov)

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
AMER ASSOC NEUROLOGICAL SURGEONS , 2023. Vol. 138, no 2, p. 476-482
Keywords [en]
INPH; vascular risk factors; mortality; CSF shunt surgery; clinical decision support tool; Framingham Risk Score; hydrocephalus; outcome
National Category
Surgery
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-192518DOI: 10.3171/2022.4.JNS22125ISI: 000933582800005PubMedID: 35901765OAI: oai:DiVA.org:liu-192518DiVA, id: diva2:1745210
Note

Funding Agencies|Umea University; Region Vasterbotten (ALF)

Available from: 2023-03-22 Created: 2023-03-22 Last updated: 2024-05-05

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Israelsson Larsen, Hanna

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Division of Prevention, Rehabilitation and Community MedicineFaculty of Medicine and Health SciencesPrimary Health Care Center Cityhälsan Centrum
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