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Mean species responses predict effects of environmental change on coexistence
Univ Namur, Belgium.
Univ Namur, Belgium.
Univ Namur, Belgium.
Princeton Univ, NJ USA.
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2023 (English)In: Ecology Letters, ISSN 1461-023X, E-ISSN 1461-0248, Vol. 26, no 9, p. 1535-1547Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Environmental change research is plagued by the curse of dimensionality: the number of communities at risk and the number of environmental drivers are both large. This raises the pressing question if a general understanding of ecological effects is achievable. Here, we show evidence that this is indeed possible. Using theoretical and simulation-based evidence for bi- and tritrophic communities, we show that environmental change effects on coexistence are proportional to mean species responses and depend on how trophic levels on average interact prior to environmental change. We then benchmark our findings using relevant cases of environmental change, showing that means of temperature optima and of species sensitivities to pollution predict concomitant effects on coexistence. Finally, we demonstrate how to apply our theory to the analysis of field data, finding support for effects of land use change on coexistence in natural invertebrate communities.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
WILEY , 2023. Vol. 26, no 9, p. 1535-1547
Keywords [en]
climate change; community ecology; environmental ecology; environmental stressors; food chains; food webs; global change; pollution
National Category
Environmental Sciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-196805DOI: 10.1111/ele.14278ISI: 001015041500001PubMedID: 37337910OAI: oai:DiVA.org:liu-196805DiVA, id: diva2:1790812
Note

Funding Agencies|FNRS-FRFC [2.5020.11, GEQ U.G006.15, 1610468, RW/GEQ2016 et U]; Hungarian National Research, Development and Innovation Offi [NKFI-123796]; Universite de Namur [2.5020.11, GEQ U.G006.15, 1610468, RW/GEQ2016 et U]; NARC fellowsh; Waalse Gewest [2.5020.11, GEQ U.G006.15, 1610468, RW/GEQ2016 et U]; Hungarian National Research, Development and Innovation Offi [NKFI-123796]; Waalse Gewest [2.5020.11, GEQ U.G006.15, 1610468, RW/GEQ2016 et U]

Available from: 2023-08-23 Created: 2023-08-23 Last updated: 2024-06-20

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Barabas, György
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Ecological and Environmental ModelingFaculty of Science & Engineering
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Citation style
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