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Green bond underlying volatility swaps in China
Linköping University, Department of Management and Engineering, Economics. Linköping University, Faculty of Arts and Sciences.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-1798-8284
Linköping University, Department of Management and Engineering, Economics. Linköping University, Faculty of Arts and Sciences.
2024 (English)In: Green Finance and Renewable Energy in ASEAN and East Asia / [ed] H. Phoumin, F. Taghizadeh-Hesary, & F. Kimura, Routledge, 2024, p. 80-103Chapter in book (Refereed)
Sustainable development
Climate Improvements
Abstract [en]

China is promoting carbon neutrality to cope with environmental degradation and economic loss, issuing more green bonds than any other country to finance its green transformation. Uncertainty affects green bonds more than traditional bonds, including policy uncertainty, natural disasters, and energy crises. This chapter advocates green bond underlying volatility swaps, a derivative that allows investors to trade green bond price volatility, which market participants can use for hedging. We propose a framework for forecasting realized volatility by demonstrating that Chinese green bonds are highly homogeneous, making them useful in such forecasting and thus guiding trading in such swaps. We also examine the forecasting performance of a novel model, RVNET-GARCH, which synthesizes multiple green bonds’ historical realized volatility into a network factor. Testing for robustness with three Monte Carlo simulations and six rolling horizons shows that the proposed methodology can provide reliable results.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Routledge, 2024. p. 80-103
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-199922DOI: 10.4324/9781003397670-5Libris ID: 1k11k30dzpgz54qvISBN: 9781003397670 (electronic)ISBN: 9781032502687 (print)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:liu-199922DiVA, id: diva2:1824279
Available from: 2024-01-04 Created: 2024-01-04 Last updated: 2024-10-10Bibliographically approved

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Ahmed, AliUddin, Gazi Salah

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CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

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Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • oxford
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf