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Dynamical systems modeling for structural understanding of social-ecological systems: A primer
Stockholm Univ, Sweden.
UFZ Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res, Germany.
UFZ Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res, Germany.
Stockholm Univ, Sweden; Uppsala Univ, Sweden.
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2023 (English)In: Ecological Complexity: An International Journal on Biocomplexity in the Environment and Theoretical Ecology, ISSN 1476-945X, E-ISSN 1476-9840, Vol. 56, article id 101052Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Dynamical systems modeling (DSM) explores how a system evolves in time when its elements and the relationships between them are known. The basic idea is that the structure of a dynamical system, expressed by coupled differential or difference equations, determines attractors of the system and, in turn, its behavior. This leads to structural understanding that can provide insights into qualitative properties of real systems, including ecological and social-ecological systems (SES). DSM generally does not aim to make specific quantitative predictions or explain singular events, but to investigate consequences of different assumptions about a system's structure. SES dynamics and possible causal relationships in SES get revealed through manipulation of individual interactions and observation of their consequences. Structural understanding is therefore particularly valuable for assessing and anticipating the consequences of interventions or shocks and managing transformation toward sustainability. Taking into account social and ecological dynamics, recognizing that SES may operate on different time scales simultaneously and that achieving an attractor might not be possible or relevant, opens up possibilities for DSM setup and analysis. This also highlights the importance of assumptions and research questions for model results and calls for closer connection between modeling and empirics. Understanding the potential and limitations of DSM in SES research is important because the well-developed and established framework of DSM provides a common language and helps break down barriers to shared understanding and dialog within multidisciplinary teams. In this primer we introduce the basic concepts, methods, and possible insights from DSM. Our target audience are both beginners in DSM and modelers who use other model types, both in ecology and SES research.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
ELSEVIER , 2023. Vol. 56, article id 101052
Keywords [en]
Dynamical systems; Stability; Structural understanding; Transient dynamics; Asymptotic dynamics; Attractors
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-201355DOI: 10.1016/j.ecocom.2023.101052ISI: 001163230000001OAI: oai:DiVA.org:liu-201355DiVA, id: diva2:1842581
Note

Funding Agencies|Swedish Research Council [2018-06139]; European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union [682472]

Available from: 2024-03-05 Created: 2024-03-05 Last updated: 2024-09-19Bibliographically approved

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Ylikoski, Petri

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The Institute for Analytical Sociology, IASFaculty of Arts and Sciences
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Ecological Complexity: An International Journal on Biocomplexity in the Environment and Theoretical Ecology
Probability Theory and Statistics

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