liu.seSearch for publications in DiVA
Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • harvard1
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • oxford
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Predictive performance of telenursing complaints in influenza surveillance: a prospective cohort study in Sweden
Linköping University, Department of Medical and Health Sciences, Division of Community Medicine. Linköping University, Faculty of Health Sciences. Östergötlands Läns Landsting, Center for Health and Developmental Care, Center for Public Health.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-6049-5402
Linköping University, Department of Medical and Health Sciences, Division of Community Medicine. Linköping University, Faculty of Health Sciences.
Linköping University, Department of Computer and Information Science, Statistics. Linköping University, Faculty of Arts and Sciences.
Linköping University, Department of Behavioural Sciences and Learning, Disability Research. Linköping University, Faculty of Arts and Sciences. Linköping University, The Swedish Institute for Disability Research.
Show others and affiliations
2014 (English)In: Eurosurveillance, ISSN 1025-496X, E-ISSN 1560-7917, Vol. 19, no 46, 24-32 p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Syndromic data sources have been sought to improve the timely detection of increased influenza transmission. This study set out to examine the prospective performance of telenursing chief complaints in predicting influenza activity. Data from two influenza seasons (2007/08 and 2008/09) were collected in a Swedish county (population 427,000) to retrospectively determine which grouping of telenursing chief complaints had the largest correlation with influenza case rates. This grouping was prospectively evaluated in the three subsequent seasons. The best performing telenursing complaint grouping in the retrospective algorithm calibration was fever (child, adult) and syncope (r=0.66; pless than0.001). In the prospective evaluation, the performance of 14-day predictions was acceptable for the part of the evaluation period including the 2009 influenza pandemic (area under the curve (AUC)=0.84; positive predictive value (PPV)=0.58), while it was strong (AUC=0.89; PPV=0.93) for the remaining evaluation period including only influenza winter seasons. We recommend the use of telenursing complaints for predicting winter influenza seasons. The method requires adjustments when used during pandemics.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
EUR CENTRE DIS PREVENTION and CONTROL , 2014. Vol. 19, no 46, 24-32 p.
National Category
Basic Medicine Mathematics Clinical Medicine
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-113057ISI: 000345424100004OAI: oai:DiVA.org:liu-113057DiVA: diva2:778294
Note

Funding Agencies|Swedish Civil Contingencies Agency [2010-2788]; Swedish Science Council [2008-5252]; Swedish Governmental Agency for Innovations (VINNOVA) [2011-03231]

Available from: 2015-01-09 Created: 2015-01-08 Last updated: 2017-12-05

Open Access in DiVA

No full text

Authority records BETA

Timpka, ToomasSpreco, ArminEriksson, OlleDahlström, ÖrjanEkberg, JoakimHinkula, JormaEriksson, Henrik

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Timpka, ToomasSpreco, ArminEriksson, OlleDahlström, ÖrjanEkberg, JoakimHinkula, JormaEriksson, Henrik
By organisation
Division of Community MedicineFaculty of Health SciencesCenter for Public HealthStatisticsFaculty of Arts and SciencesDisability ResearchThe Swedish Institute for Disability ResearchDivision of Microbiology and Molecular MedicineHuman-Centered systemsThe Institute of Technology
In the same journal
Eurosurveillance
Basic MedicineMathematicsClinical Medicine

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar

urn-nbn

Altmetric score

urn-nbn
Total: 323 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • harvard1
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • oxford
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf