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  • 1.
    Aoyama, Lina
    et al.
    Univ Oregon, OR 97403 USA; Univ Oregon, OR 97403 USA.
    Shoemaker, Lauren G.
    Univ Wyoming, WY 82071 USA.
    Gilbert, Benjamin
    Univ Toronto, Canada.
    Collinge, Sharon K.
    Univ Colorado, CO 80309 USA.
    Faist, Akasha M.
    New Mexico State Univ, NM 88003 USA.
    Shackelford, Nancy
    Univ Victoria, Canada; Univ Colorado Boulder, CO USA.
    Temperton, Vicky M.
    Leuphana Univ, Germany.
    Barabas, György
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Ecological and Environmental Modeling. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering. Univ Calif Riverside, CA USA.
    Larios, Loralee
    Univ Calif Riverside, CA USA.
    Ladouceur, Emma
    German Ctr Integrat Biodivers Res iDiv Leipzig Ha, Germany; UFZ Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res, Germany.
    Godoy, Oscar
    Inst Univ Invest Marina INMAR, Spain.
    Bowler, Catherine
    Univ Queensland, Australia.
    Hallett, Lauren M.
    Univ Oregon, OR 97403 USA; Univ Oregon, OR 97403 USA.
    Application of modern coexistence theory to rare plant restoration provides early indication of restoration trajectories2022In: Ecological Applications, ISSN 1051-0761, E-ISSN 1939-5582, Vol. 32, no 7, article id e2649Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Restoration ecology commonly seeks to re-establish species of interest in degraded habitats. Despite a rich understanding of how succession influences re-establishment, there are several outstanding questions that remain unaddressed: are short-term abundances sufficient to determine long-term re-establishment success, and what factors contribute to unpredictable restorations outcomes? In other words, when restoration fails, is it because the restored habitat is substandard, because of strong competition with invasive species, or alternatively due to changing environmental conditions that would equally impact established populations? Here, we re-purpose tools developed from modern coexistence theory to address these questions, and apply them to an effort to restore the endangered Contra Costa goldfields (Lasthenia conjugens) in constructed ("restored") California vernal pools. Using 16 years of data, we construct a population model of L. conjugens, a species of conservation concern due primarily to habitat loss and invasion of exotic grasses. We show that initial, short-term appearances of restoration success from population abundances is misleading, as year-to-year fluctuations cause long-term population growth rates to fall below zero. The failure of constructed pools is driven by lower maximum growth rates compared with reference ("natural") pools, coupled with a stronger negative sensitivity to annual fluctuations in abiotic conditions that yield decreased maximum growth rates. Nonetheless, our modeling shows that fluctuations in competition (mainly with exotic grasses) benefit L. conjugens through periods of competitive release, especially in constructed pools of intermediate pool depth. We therefore show how reductions in invasives and seed addition in pools of particular depths could change the outcome of restoration for L. conjugens. By applying a largely theoretical framework to the urgent goal of ecological restoration, our study provides a blueprint for predicting restoration success, and identifies future actions to reverse species loss.

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  • 2.
    Arnoldi, Jean-Francois
    et al.
    CNRS, France.
    Barbier, Matthieu
    CIRAD, France.
    Kelly, Ruth
    Agrifood & Biosci Inst, North Ireland.
    Barabas, György
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Theoretical Biology. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering. ELTE MTA Theoret Biol & Evolutionary Ecol Res Grp, Hungary.
    Jackson, Andrew L.
    Univ Dublin, Ireland.
    Invasions of ecological communities: Hints of impacts in the invaders growth rate2022In: Methods in Ecology and Evolution, E-ISSN 2041-210X, Vol. 13, no 1, p. 167-182Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    1. Theory in ecology and evolution often relies on the analysis of invasion processes, and general approaches exist to understand the early stages of an invasion. However, predicting the long-term transformations of communities following an invasion remains a challenging endeavour. 2. We propose a general analytical method that uses both resident community and invader dynamical features to predict whether an invasion causes large long-term impacts on the invaded community. 3. This approach reveals a direction in which classic invasion analysis, based on initial invasion growth rate, can be extended. Indeed, we explain how the density dependence of invasion growth, if properly defined, synthetically encodes the long-term biotic transformations caused by an invasion, and therefore predicts its ultimate outcome. This approach further clarifies how the density dependence of the invasion growth rate is as much a property of the invading population as it is one of the invaded community. 4. Our theory applies to any stable community model, and directs us towards new questions that may enrich the toolset of invasion analysis, and suggests that indirect interactions and dynamical stability are key determinants of invasion outcomes.

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  • 3.
    Barabas, György
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Theoretical Biology. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering. Eotvos Lorand Univ, Hungary.
    Biodiversity and community structure2021In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, ISSN 0027-8424, E-ISSN 1091-6490, Vol. 118, no 11, article id e2101176118Article in journal (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    n/a

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  • 4.
    Barabas, György
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Ecological and Environmental Modeling. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering. Ctr Ecol Res, Hungary.
    Parameter Sensitivity of Transient Community Dynamics2024In: American Naturalist, ISSN 0003-0147, E-ISSN 1537-5323Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Transient dynamics have always intrigued ecologists, but current rapid environmental change (inducing transients even in previously undisturbed systems) has highlighted their importance more than ever. Here, I introduce a method for analyzing the sensitivity of transient ecological dynamics to parameter perturbations. The question the method answers is: how would the community dynamics have unfolded for some time horizon had the parameters been slightly different? I apply the method to three empirically parameterized models: competition between native forbs and exotic grasses in California, a host-parasitoid system, and an experimental chemostat predator-prey model. These applications showcase the ecological insights one can gain from models using transient sensitivity analysis. First, one can find parameters and their combinations whose perturbations disproportionately affect a system. Second, one can identify particular windows of time during which the predicted deviation from the unperturbed trajectories is especially large and utilize this information for management purposes. Third, there is an inverse relationship between transient and long-term sensitivities whenever the interacting populations are ecologically similar; paradoxically, the smaller the immediate response of the system, the more extreme its long-term response will be.

    The full text will be freely available from 2025-02-20 00:00
  • 5.
    Barabas, György
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Theoretical Biology. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering.
    The coexistence problem revisited2017In: NATURE ECOLOGY and EVOLUTION, ISSN 2397-334X, Vol. 1, no 10, p. 1425-1426Article in journal (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    A new theoretical study warns against common misinterpretations of classical ideas on the limits to species diversity.

  • 6.
    Barabas, György
    et al.
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Theoretical Biology. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering. MTA ELTE Theoret Biol & Evolutionary Ecol Res Grp, Hungary.
    DAndrea, Rafael
    Univ Illinois, IL 61801 USA.
    Chessons coexistence theory: reply2020In: Ecology, ISSN 0012-9658, E-ISSN 1939-9170, Vol. 101, no 11, article id e03140Article in journal (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    n/a

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  • 7.
    Barabas, György
    et al.
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Theoretical Biology. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering.
    D'Andrea, Rafael
    Univ Illinois, IL 61801 USA.
    Stump, Simon Maccracken
    Yale Sch Forestry and Environm Studies, CT 06511 USA.
    Chesson's coexistence theory2018In: Ecological Monographs, ISSN 0012-9615, E-ISSN 1557-7015, Vol. 88, no 3, p. 277-303Article, review/survey (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    We give a comprehensive review of Chesson's coexistence theory, summarizing, for the first time, all its fundamental details in one single document. Our goal is for both theoretical and empirical ecologists to be able to use the theory to interpret their findings, and to get a precise sense of the limits of its applicability. To this end, we introduce an explicit handling of limiting factors, and a new way of defining the scaling factors that partition invasion growth rates into the different mechanisms contributing to coexistence. We explain terminology such as relative nonlinearity, storage effect, and growth-density covariance, both in a formal setting and through their biological interpretation. We review the theory's applications and contributions to our current understanding of species coexistence. While the theory is very general, it is not well suited to all problems, so we carefully point out its limitations. Finally, we critique the paradigm of decomposing invasion growth rates into stabilizing and equalizing components: we argue that these concepts are useful when used judiciously, but have often been employed in an overly simplified way to justify false claims.

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  • 8.
    Barabas, György
    et al.
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Theoretical Biology. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering. University of Chicago, IL 60637 USA.
    Michalska-Smith, Matthew J.
    University of Chicago, IL 60637 USA.
    Allesina, Stefano
    University of Chicago, IL 60637 USA; Northwestern University, IL 60208 USA.
    Self-regulation and the stability of large ecological networks2017In: NATURE ECOLOGY and EVOLUTION, ISSN 2397-334X, Vol. 1, no 12, p. 1870-+Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    The stability of complex ecological networks depends both on the interactions between species and the direct effects of the species on themselves. These self-effects are known as self-regulation when an increase in a species abundance decreases its per-capita growth rate. Sources of self-regulation include intraspecific interference, cannibalism, time-scale separation between consumers and their resources, spatial heterogeneity and nonlinear functional responses coupling predators with their prey. The influence of self-regulation on network stability is understudied and in addition, the empirical estimation of self-effects poses a formidable challenge. Here, we show that empirical food web structures cannot be stabilized unless the majority of species exhibit substantially strong self-regulation. We also derive an analytical formula predicting the effect of self-regulation on network stability with high accuracy and show that even for random networks, as well as networks with a cascade structure, stability requires negative self-effects for a large proportion of species. These results suggest that the aforementioned potential mechanisms of self-regulation are probably more important in contributing to the stability of observed ecological networks than was previously thought.

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  • 9.
    Barabas, György
    et al.
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Theoretical Biology. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering. ELTE MTA Theoret Biol & Evolutionary Ecol Res Grp, Hungary.
    Parent, Christine
    Univ Idaho, ID 83844 USA.
    Kraemer, Andrew
    Creighton Univ, NE 68178 USA.
    Van de Perre, Frederik
    Univ Antwerp, Belgium.
    De Laender, Frederik
    Univ Namur, Belgium.
    The evolution of trait variance creates a tension between species diversity and functional diversity2022In: Nature Communications, E-ISSN 2041-1723, Vol. 13, no 1, article id 2521Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    It seems intuitively obvious that species diversity promotes functional diversity: communities with more plant species imply more varied plant leaf chemistry, more species of crops provide more kinds of food, etc. Recent literature has nuanced this view, showing how the relationship between the two can be modulated along latitudinal or environmental gradients. Here we show that even without such effects, the evolution of functional trait variance can erase or even reverse the expected positive relationship between species- and functional diversity. We present theory showing that trait-based eco-evolutionary processes force species to evolve narrower trait breadths in more tightly packed, species-rich communities, in their effort to avoid competition with neighboring species. This effect is so strong that it leads to an overall reduction in trait space coverage whenever a new species establishes. Empirical data from land snail communities on the Galapagos Islands are consistent with this claim. The finding that the relationship between species- and functional diversity can be negative implies that trait data from species-poor communities may misjudge functional diversity in species-rich ones, and vice versa. The positive relationship between species diversity and functional diversity has been shown to vary. Here, the authors use theoretical models and data from Galapagos land snail communities to show how eco-evolutionary processes can force species to evolve narrower trait breadths in more species-rich communities to avoid competition, creating a negative relationship.

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  • 10.
    Barabas, György
    et al.
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Theoretical Biology. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering. Eotvos Lorand Univ, Hungary.
    Szigeti, András
    Linköping University, Department of Culture and Society, Division of Philosophy, History, Arts and Religion. Linköping University, Faculty of Arts and Sciences. Linköping University, Department of Culture and Society, Division of Philosophy and Applied Ethics. Lund Univ, Sweden.
    Using Quotas as a Remedy for Structural Injustice2023In: Erkenntnis, ISSN 0165-0106, E-ISSN 1572-8420, Vol. 88, p. 3631-3649Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    We analyze a frequent but undertheorized form of structural injustice, one that arises due to the difficulty of reaching numerically equitable representation of underrepresented subgroups within a larger group. This form of structural injustice is significant because it could occur even if it were possible to completely eliminate bias and overt discrimination from hiring and recruitment practices. The conceptual toolkit we develop can be used to analyze such situations and propose remedies. Specifically, based on a simple mathematical model, we offer a new argument in favour of quotas, explore implications for policy-making, and consider the wider philosophical significance of the problem. We show that in order to reach more equitable representations, quota-based recruitment may often be practically unavoidable. Assuming that members of groups in statistical minority are more likely to quit due to their marginalization, their proportions can stabilize at a low level, preventing a shift towards more equal representation and conserving the minority status of the subgroup. We show that this argument has important implications for addressing, preventing, and remediating the structural injustice of unfair representation.

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  • 11.
    Boza, G.
    et al.
    MTA Ctr Ecol Res, Hungary; Int Inst Appl Syst Anal IIASA, Austria; Ctr Social Sci, Hungary.
    Barabas, György
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Ecological and Environmental Modeling. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering. MTA Ctr Ecol Res, Hungary.
    Scheuring, I.
    MTA Ctr Ecol Res, Hungary.
    Zachar, I.
    MTA Ctr Ecol Res, Hungary; Eotvos Lorand Univ, Hungary; Ctr Conceptual Fdn Sci, Germany.
    Eco-evolutionary modelling of microbial syntrophy indicates the robustness of cross-feeding over cross-facilitation2023In: Scientific Reports, E-ISSN 2045-2322, Vol. 13, no 1, article id 907Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Syntrophic cooperation among prokaryotes is ubiquitous and diverse. It relies on unilateral or mutual aid that may be both catalytic and metabolic in nature. Hypotheses of eukaryotic origins claim that mitochondrial endosymbiosis emerged from mutually beneficial syntrophy of archaeal and bacterial partners. However, there are no other examples of prokaryotic syntrophy leading to endosymbiosis. One potential reason is that when externalized products become public goods, they incite social conflict due to selfish mutants that may undermine any mutualistic interactions. To rigorously evaluate these arguments, here we construct a general mathematical framework of the ecology and evolution of different types of syntrophic partnerships. We do so both in a general microbial and in a eukaryogenetic context. Studying the case where partners cross-feed on each others self-inhibiting waste, we show that cooperative partnerships will eventually dominate over selfish mutants. By contrast, systems where producers actively secrete enzymes that cross-facilitate their partners resource consumption are not robust against cheaters over evolutionary time. We conclude that cross-facilitation is unlikely to provide an adequate syntrophic origin for endosymbiosis, but that cross-feeding mutualisms may indeed have played that role.

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  • 12.
    Carpentier, Camille
    et al.
    Univ Namur, Belgium.
    Barabas, György
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Theoretical Biology. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering. MTA ELTE Theoret Biol & Evolutionary Ecol Res Grp, Hungary.
    Spaak, Jurg Werner
    Univ Namur, Belgium; Cornell Univ, NY USA.
    De Laender, Frederik
    Univ Namur, Belgium.
    Reinterpreting the relationship between number of species and number of links connects community structure and stability2021In: Nature Ecology & Evolution, E-ISSN 2397-334X, Vol. 5, no 8, p. 1102-1109Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    For 50 years, ecologists have examined how the number of interactions (links) scales with the number of species in ecological networks. Here, we show that the way the number of links varies when species are sequentially removed from a community is fully defined by a single parameter identifiable from empirical data. We mathematically demonstrate that this parameter is network-specific and connects local stability and robustness, establishing a formal connection between community structure and two prime stability concepts. Importantly, this connection highlights a local stability-robustness trade-off, which is stronger in mutualistic than in trophic networks. Analysis of 435 empirical networks confirmed these results. We finally show how our network-specific approach relates to the classical across-network approach found in literature. Taken together, our results elucidate one of the intricate relationships between network structure and stability in community networks. This paper demonstrates that the scaling relationship between the number of species and the number of interactions (links) in a network can explain its local stability and robustness to secondary extinctions.

  • 13.
    Clark, Adam Thomas
    et al.
    UFZ Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res, Germany; Karl Franzens Univ Graz, Austria; German Ctr Integrat Biodivers Res iDiv, Germany.
    Arnoldi, Jean-Francois
    Trinity Coll Dublin, Ireland.
    Zelnik, Yuval R.
    Swedish Univ Agr Sci, Sweden; CNRS, France.
    Barabas, György
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Theoretical Biology. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering. MTA ELTE Theoret Biol & Evolutionary Ecol Res Gr, Hungary.
    Hodapp, Dorothee
    Helmholtz Inst Funct Marine Biodivers HIFMB, Germany; Helmholtz Ctr Polar & Marine Res AWI, Germany.
    Karakoc, Canan
    German Ctr Integrat Biodivers Res iDiv, Germany; UFZ Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res, Germany.
    Koenig, Sara
    UFZ Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res, Germany.
    Radchuk, Viktoriia
    Leibniz Inst Zoo & Wildlife Res IZW, Germany.
    Donohue, Ian
    Trinity Coll Dublin, Ireland.
    Huth, Andreas
    UFZ Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res, Germany.
    Jacquet, Claire
    Univ Zurich, Switzerland; Eawag, Switzerland.
    de Mazancourt, Claire
    CNRS, France.
    Mentges, Andrea
    German Ctr Integrat Biodivers Res iDiv, Germany; Martin Luther Univ Halle Wittenberg, Germany.
    Nothaass, Dorian
    UFZ Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res, Germany; UFZ Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res, Germany.
    Shoemaker, Lauren G.
    Univ Wyoming, WY 82071 USA.
    Taubert, Franziska
    UFZ Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res, Germany.
    Wiegand, Thorsten
    German Ctr Integrat Biodivers Res iDiv, Germany; UFZ Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res, Germany.
    Wang, Shaopeng
    Peking Univ, Peoples R China; Peking Univ, Peoples R China.
    Chase, Jonathan M.
    German Ctr Integrat Biodivers Res iDiv, Germany; Univ Wyoming, WY 82071 USA.
    Loreau, Michel
    CNRS, France.
    Harpole, Stanley
    UFZ Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res, Germany; German Ctr Integrat Biodivers Res iDiv, Germany; Martin Luther Univ Halle Wittenberg, Germany.
    General statistical scaling laws for stability in ecological systems2021In: Ecology Letters, ISSN 1461-023X, E-ISSN 1461-0248, Vol. 24, no 7, p. 1474-1486Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Ecological stability refers to a family of concepts used to describe how systems of interacting species vary through time and respond to disturbances. Because observed ecological stability depends on sampling scales and environmental context, it is notoriously difficult to compare measurements across sites and systems. Here, we apply stochastic dynamical systems theory to derive general statistical scaling relationships across time, space, and ecological level of organisation for three fundamental stability aspects: resilience, resistance, and invariance. These relationships can be calibrated using random or representative samples measured at individual scales, and projected to predict average stability at other scales across a wide range of contexts. Moreover deviations between observed vs. extrapolated scaling relationships can reveal information about unobserved heterogeneity across time, space, or species. We anticipate that these methods will be useful for cross-study synthesis of stability data, extrapolating measurements to unobserved scales, and identifying underlying causes and consequences of heterogeneity.

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  • 14.
    De Laender, Frederik
    et al.
    Univ Namur, Belgium.
    Carpentier, Camille
    Univ Namur, Belgium.
    Carletti, Timoteo
    Univ Namur, Belgium.
    Song, Chuliang
    Princeton Univ, NJ USA.
    Rumschlag, Samantha L.
    Univ Notre Dame, IN USA.
    Mahon, Michael B.
    Univ Notre Dame, IN USA.
    Simonin, Marie
    Univ Angers, France.
    Meszena, Geza
    Eotvos Lorand Univ, Hungary; Ctr Ecol Res, Hungary.
    Barabas, György
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Ecological and Environmental Modeling. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering. Ctr Ecol Res, Hungary.
    Mean species responses predict effects of environmental change on coexistence2023In: Ecology Letters, ISSN 1461-023X, E-ISSN 1461-0248, Vol. 26, no 9, p. 1535-1547Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Environmental change research is plagued by the curse of dimensionality: the number of communities at risk and the number of environmental drivers are both large. This raises the pressing question if a general understanding of ecological effects is achievable. Here, we show evidence that this is indeed possible. Using theoretical and simulation-based evidence for bi- and tritrophic communities, we show that environmental change effects on coexistence are proportional to mean species responses and depend on how trophic levels on average interact prior to environmental change. We then benchmark our findings using relevant cases of environmental change, showing that means of temperature optima and of species sensitivities to pollution predict concomitant effects on coexistence. Finally, we demonstrate how to apply our theory to the analysis of field data, finding support for effects of land use change on coexistence in natural invertebrate communities.

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  • 15.
    Grilli, Jacopo
    et al.
    Univ Chicago, USA.
    Adorisio, Matteo
    Scuola Int Super Studi Avanzati, SISSA, Italy.
    Suweis, Samir
    Univ Padua,Italy; CNISM, Italy.
    Barabas, Gyorgy
    Univ Chicago, USA.
    Banavar, Jayanth R.
    Univ Maryland, USA.
    Allesina, Stefano
    Univ Chicago, USA; Northwestern Univ, USA.
    Maritan, Amos
    Univ Padua, Italy; CNISM, Italy.
    Correction: Feasibility and coexistence of large ecological communities (vol 8, pg 14389, 2017)2018In: Nature Communications, E-ISSN 2041-1723, Vol. 9, article id 16228Article in journal (Other academic)
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  • 16.
    Grilli, Jacopo
    et al.
    Univ Chicago, USA.
    Adorisio, Matteo
    Scuola Int Super Studi Avanzati, SISSA, Italy.
    Suweis, Samir
    Univ Padua, Italy; CNISM, Italy.
    Barabas, Gyorgy
    Univ Chicago, USA.
    Banavar, Jayanth R.
    Univ Maryland, USA.
    Allesina, Stefano
    Univ Chicago, USA; Northwestern Univ, USA.
    Maritan, Amos
    Univ Padua, Italy; CNISM, Italy.
    Feasibility and coexistence of large ecological communities2017In: Nature Communications, E-ISSN 2041-1723, Vol. 8, article id 14389Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    The role of species interactions in controlling the interplay between the stability of ecosystems and their biodiversity is still not well understood. The ability of ecological communities to recover after small perturbations of the species abundances (local asymptotic stability) has been well studied, whereas the likelihood of a community to persist when the conditions change (structural stability) has received much less attention. Our goal is to understand the effects of diversity, interaction strengths and ecological network structure on the volume of parameter space leading to feasible equilibria. We develop a geometrical framework to study the range of conditions necessary for feasible coexistence. We show that feasibility is determined by few quantities describing the interactions, yielding a nontrivial complexity-feasibility relationship. Analysing more than 100 empirical networks, we show that the range of coexistence conditions in mutualistic systems can be analytically predicted. Finally, we characterize the geometric shape of the feasibility domain, thereby identifying the direction of perturbations that are more likely to cause extinctions.

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  • 17.
    Grilli, Jacopo
    et al.
    Univ Chicago, USA.
    Barabas, Gyorgy
    Univ Chicago, USA.
    Michalska-Smith, Matthew J.
    Univ Chicago, USA.
    Allesina, Stefano
    Univ Chicago, USA; Northwestern Univ, USA.
    Higher-order interactions stabilize dynamics in competitive network models2017In: Nature Communications, E-ISSN 2041-1723, Vol. 548, no 7666, p. 210-+Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Ecologists have long sought a way to explain how the remarkable biodiversity observed in nature is maintained. On the one hand, simple models of interacting competitors cannot produce the stable persistence of very large ecological communities(1-5). On the other hand, neutral models(6-9), in which species do not interact and diversity is maintained by immigration and speciation, yield unrealistically small fluctuations in population abundance(10), and a strong positive correlation between a species' abundance and its age(11), contrary to empirical evidence. Models allowing for the robust persistence of large communities of interacting competitors are lacking. Here we show that very diverse communities could persist thanks to the stabilizing role of higher-order interactions(12,13), in which the presence of a species influences the interaction between other species. Although higher-order interactions have been studied for decades(14-16), their role in shaping ecological communities is still unclear(5). The inclusion of higher-order interactions in competitive network models stabilizes dynamics, making species coexistence robust to the perturbation of both population abundance and parameter values. We show that higher-order interactions have strong effects in models of closed ecological communities, as well as of open communities in which new species are constantly introduced. In our framework, higher-order interactions are completely defined by pairwise interactions, facilitating empirical parameterization and validation of our models.

  • 18.
    Guo, Guanming
    et al.
    Jiangxi Normal Univ, Peoples R China.
    Barabas, György
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Ecological and Environmental Modeling. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering. Ctr Ecol Res, Hungary.
    Takimoto, Gaku
    Univ Tokyo, Japan.
    Bearup, Daniel
    Univ Kent, England.
    Fagan, William F.
    Univ Maryland, MD USA.
    Chen, Dongdong
    Chinese Acad Sci, Peoples R China.
    Liao, Jinbao
    Jiangxi Normal Univ, Peoples R China; Yunnan Univ, Peoples R China; Ziyang Rd 99, Peoples R China.
    Towards a mechanistic understanding of variation in aquatic food chain length2023In: Ecology Letters, ISSN 1461-023X, E-ISSN 1461-0248, Vol. 26, no 11, p. 1926-1939Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Ecologists have long sought to understand variation in food chain length (FCL) among natural ecosystems. Various drivers of FCL, including ecosystem size, resource productivity and disturbance, have been hypothesised. However, when results are aggregated across existing empirical studies from aquatic ecosystems, we observe mixed FCL responses to these drivers. To understand this variability, we develop a unified competition-colonisation framework for complex food webs incorporating all of these drivers. With competition-colonisation tradeoffs among basal species, our model predicts that increasing ecosystem size generally results in a monotonic increase in FCL, while FCL displays non-linear, oscillatory responses to resource productivity or disturbance in large ecosystems featuring little disturbance or high productivity. Interestingly, such complex responses mirror patterns in empirical data. Therefore, this study offers a novel mechanistic explanation for observed variations in aquatic FCL driven by multiple environmental factors.

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  • 19.
    Haeussler, Johanna
    et al.
    German Ctr Integrat Biodivers Res iDiv, Germany; Friedrich Schiller Univ Jena, Germany.
    Barabas, György
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Theoretical Biology. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering. MTA ELTE Theoret Biol & Evolutionary Ecol Res Grp, Hungary.
    Eklöf, Anna
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Theoretical Biology. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering.
    A Bayesian network approach to trophic metacommunities shows that habitat loss accelerates top species extinctions2020In: Ecology Letters, ISSN 1461-023X, E-ISSN 1461-0248, Vol. 23, p. 1849-1861Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    We develop a novel approach to analyse trophic metacommunities, which allows us to explore how progressive habitat loss affects food webs. Our method combines classic metapopulation models on fragmented landscapes with a Bayesian network representation of trophic interactions for calculating local extinction rates. This means that we can repurpose known results from classic metapopulation theory for trophic metacommunities, such as ranking the habitat patches of the landscape with respect to their importance to the persistence of the metacommunity as a whole. We use this to study the effects of habitat loss, both on model communities and the plant-mammal Serengeti food web dataset as a case study. Combining straightforward parameterisability with computational efficiency, our method permits the analysis of species-rich food webs over large landscapes, with hundreds or even thousands of species and habitat patches, while still retaining much of the flexibility of explicit dynamical models.

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  • 20.
    Hallett, Lauren M.
    et al.
    Univ Oregon, OR 97403 USA.
    Aoyama, Lina
    Univ Oregon, OR 97403 USA.
    Barabas, György
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Ecological and Environmental Modeling. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering. Ctr Ecol Res, Hungary.
    Gilbert, Benjamin
    Univ Toronto, Canada.
    Larios, Loralee
    Univ Calif Riverside, CA 92521 USA.
    Shackelford, Nancy
    Univ Victoria, Canada.
    Werner, Chhaya M.
    Univ Wyoming, WY 82071 USA; Southern Oregon Univ, OR 97520 USA.
    Godoy, Oscar
    Univ Cadiz, Spain.
    Ladouceur, Emma R.
    UFZ Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res, Germany; German Ctr Integrat Biodivers Res iDiv, Germany.
    Lucero, Jacob E.
    Texas A&M Univ, TX 77843 USA.
    Weiss-Lehman, Christopher P.
    Univ Wyoming, WY 82071 USA.
    Chase, Jonathan M.
    German Ctr Integrat Biodivers Res iDiv, Germany.
    Chu, Chengjin
    Sun Yat Sen Univ, Peoples R China.
    Harpole, W. Stanley
    UFZ Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res, Germany; German Ctr Integrat Biodivers Res iDiv, Germany; Martin Luther Univ Halle Wittenberg, Germany.
    Field, Margaret M. May
    Univ Melbourne, Australia.
    Faist, Akasha M.
    New Mexico State Univ, NM 88003 USA; Univ Montana, MT 59812 USA.
    Shoemaker, Lauren G.
    Univ Wyoming, WY 82071 USA.
    Restoration ecology through the lens of coexistence theory2023In: Trends in Ecology & Evolution, ISSN 0169-5347, E-ISSN 1872-8383, Vol. 38, no 11, p. 1085-1096Article, review/survey (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Advances in restoration ecology are needed to guide ecological restoration in a variable and changing world. Coexistence theory provides a framework for how variability in environmental conditions and species interactions affects species success. Here, we conceptually link coexistence theory and restoration ecology. First, including low-density growth rates (LDGRs), a classic metric of coexistence, can improve abundance-based restoration goals, because abundances are sensitive to initial treatments and ongoing variability. Second, growth-rate partitioning, developed to identify coexistence mechanisms, can improve restoration practice by informing site selection and indicating necessary interventions (e.g., site amelioration or competitor removal). Finally, coexistence methods can improve restoration assessment, because initial growth rates indicate trajectories, average growth rates measure success, and growth partitioning highlights interventions needed in future.

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  • 21.
    Heurlin, Jasmine
    et al.
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Biology. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering.
    Barabas, György
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Biology. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering. HUN REN Ctr Ecol Res, Hungary.
    Roth, Lina
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Biology. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering.
    Behavioural synchronisation between different groups of dogs and wolves and their owners/handlers: Exploring the effect of breed and human interaction2024In: PLOS ONE, E-ISSN 1932-6203, Vol. 19, no 5, article id e0302833Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Dogs have previously been shown to synchronise their behaviour with their owner and the aim of this study was to test the effect of immediate interactions, breed, and the effects of domestication. The behavioural synchronisation test was conducted in outdoor enclosures and consisted of 30 s where the owner/handler was walking and 30 s of standing still. Three studies were conducted to explore the effect of immediate interaction (study A), the effect of breed group (study B), and the effect of domestication (study C). In study A, a group of twenty companion dogs of various breeds were tested after three different human interaction treatments: Ignore, Pet, and Play. The results showed that dogs adjusted their movement pattern to align with their owner's actions regardless of treatment. Furthermore, exploration, eye contact, and movement were all influenced by the owners moving pattern, and exploration also decreased after the Play treatment. In study B, the synchronisation test was performed after the Ignore treatment on three groups: 24 dogs of ancient dog breeds, 17 solitary hunting dogs, and 20 companion dogs (data from study A). Irrespective of the group, all dogs synchronised their moving behaviour with their owner. In addition, human walking positively influenced eye contact behaviour while simultaneously decreasing exploration behaviour. In study C, a group of six socialised pack-living wolves and six similarly socialised pack-living dogs were tested after the Ignore treatment. Interestingly, these animals did not alter their moving behaviour in response to their handler. In conclusion, dogs living together with humans synchronise with their owner's moving behaviour, while wolves and dogs living in packs do not. Hence, the degree of interspecies behavioural synchronisation may be influenced by the extent to which the dogs are immersed in everyday life with humans.

  • 22.
    Kozlov, Vladimir
    et al.
    Linköping University, Department of Mathematics, Mathematics and Applied Mathematics. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering.
    Vakulenko, Serge
    Russian Acad Sci, Russia.
    Barabas, György
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Theoretical Biology. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering. MTA ELTE Theoret Biol & Evolutionary Ecol Res Grp, Hungary.
    Wennergren, Uno
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Theoretical Biology. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering.
    Biomass and biodiversity in species-rich tritrophic communities2020In: Ecological Complexity: An International Journal on Biocomplexity in the Environment and Theoretical Ecology, ISSN 1476-945X, E-ISSN 1476-9840, Vol. 43, article id 100854Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    We consider a tritrophic system with one basal and one top species and a large number of primary consumers, and derive upper and lower bounds for the total biomass of the middle trophic level. These estimates do not depend on dynamical regime, holding for fixed point, periodic, or chaotic dynamics. We have two kinds of estimates, depending on whether the predator abundance is zero. All these results are uniform in a self-limitation parameter, which regulates prey diversity in the system. For strong self-limitation, diversity is large; for weak self-limitation, it is small. Diversity depends on the variance of species parameter values. The larger this variance, the lower the diversity, and vice versa. Moreover, variation in the parameters of the Holling type II functional response changes the bifurcation character, with the equilibrium state with nonzero predator abundance losing stability. If that variation is small then the bifurcation can lead to oscillations (the Hopf bifurcation). Under certain conditions, there exists a supercritical Hopf bifurcation. We then find a connection between diversity and Hopf bifurcations. We also show that the system exhibits top-down regulation and a hump-shaped diversity-productivity curve. We then extend the model by allowing species to experience self-regulation. For this extended model, explicit estimates of prey diversity are obtained. We study the dynamics of this system and find the following. First, diversity and system dynamics crucially depend on variation in species parameters. We show that under certain conditions, the system undergoes a supercritical Hopf bifurcation. We also establish a connection between diversity and Hopf bifurcations. For strong self-limitation, diversity is large and complex dynamics are absent. For weak self-limitation, diversity is small and the equilibrium with non-zero predator abundance is unstable.

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  • 23.
    Liao, Jinbao
    et al.
    Jiangxi Normal Univ, Peoples R China.
    Barabas, György
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Theoretical Biology. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering. MTA ELTE Theoret Biol & Evolutionary Ecol Res Grp, Hungary.
    Bearup, Daniel
    Univ Kent, England.
    Competition-colonization dynamics and multimodality in diversity-disturbance relationships2022In: Ecology, ISSN 0012-9658, E-ISSN 1939-9170, Vol. 103, no 5, article id e3672Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Disturbance has long been recognized as a critical driver of species diversity in community ecology. Recently, it has been found that the well-known intermediate disturbance hypothesis, which predicts a unimodal diversity-disturbance relationship (DDR), fails to describe numerous experimental observations, as empirical DDRs are diverse. Consequently, the precise form of the DDR remains a topic of debate. Here we develop a simple yet comprehensive metacommunity framework that can account for complex competition patterns. Using both numerical simulations and analytical arguments, we show that strongly multimodal DDRs arise naturally, and this multimodality is quite robust to changing parameters or relaxing the assumption of a strict competitive hierarchy. Having multimodality as a robust property of DDRs in competition models suggests that much of the noise observed in empirical DDRs could be a critical signature of the underlying competitive dynamics.

  • 24.
    Olusoji, Oluwafemi D.
    et al.
    Hasselt Univ, Belgium; Univ Namur, Belgium.
    Barabas, György
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Ecological and Environmental Modeling. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering. ELTE MTA Theoret Biol & Evolutionary Ecol Res Grp, Hungary; Ctr Ecol Res, Hungary.
    Spaak, Jurg W.
    Univ Namur, Belgium.
    Fontana, Simone
    Univ Freiburg, Germany; Swiss Fed Res Inst WSL, Switzerland; Amt Natur Jagd & Fischerei, Switzerland.
    Neyens, Thomas
    Hasselt Univ, Belgium; Katholieke Univ Leuven, Belgium.
    De Laender, Frederik
    Univ Namur, Belgium.
    Aerts, Marc
    Hasselt Univ, Belgium.
    Measuring individual-level trait diversity: a critical assessment of methods2023In: Oikos, ISSN 0030-1299, E-ISSN 1600-0706, Vol. 2023, no 4, article id e09178Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Individual-level trait diversity has been identified as an essential component of trait diversity (TD), influencing community assembly and structure. Traditionally, one employs trait diversity indices to measure facets of individual-level trait diversity (divergence, richness and evenness). However, the application of species-level trait diversity indices to individual-level traits data and their implications have not been adequately studied. Thus, we examined the possible challenges of using four commonly used multi-trait TD indices: Raos quadratic entropy (Rao), functional dispersion (FDis), functional evenness (FEve) and functional richness (FRic); two indices primarily developed to measure individual-level trait diversity: trait evenness distribution (TED-for evenness) and trait onion peeling (TOP-for richnness); and a modified version of TED (TEDM-for evenness). Additionally, we considered an index that integrates both evenness and richness by generalizing ordinary Hill indices for traits (coined HIT). We measured individual-level trait diversity with these indices using simulated traits data and experimental data from a growth experiment with cyanobacteria. Comparing the observed trends from the indices with the expected trends, we observed that only the trait divergence indices (FDis and Rao) produced the expected trends in the simulation scenarios and experimental data. TED and TEDM are not robust against the number of individuals used, and FEve is not sensitive to some changes in the location of individuals in the trait space. Also, TOP proved to be a discontinuous function dependent on the number of individuals, and FRic did not produce the anticipated trend when changes in the trait space did not affect the edges of the trait space. HIT did produce the anticipated changes, but it was only reliable when many individuals were sampled. In summary, applying these individual-level trait diversity indices to quantify anything except trait divergence may lead to misinterpretation of the original situation of trait distribution in the trait space if their specific properties are not adequately considered.

  • 25.
    Pastore, Abigail I.
    et al.
    Univ Queensland, Australia; Florida State Univ, FL 32306 USA.
    Barabas, György
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Theoretical Biology. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering. MTA ELTE Theoret Biol & Evolutionary Ecol Res Grp, Hungary.
    Bimler, Malyon D.
    Univ Queensland, Australia.
    Mayfield, Margaret M.
    Univ Queensland, Australia.
    Miller, Thomas E.
    Florida State Univ, FL 32306 USA.
    The evolution of niche overlap and competitive differences2021In: Nature Ecology & Evolution, E-ISSN 2397-334X, Vol. 5, no 3, p. 330-337Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Competition can result in evolutionary changes to coexistence between competitors but there are no theoretical models that predict how the components of coexistence change during this eco-evolutionary process. Here we study the evolution of the coexistence components, niche overlap and competitive differences, in a two-species eco-evolutionary model based on consumer-resource interactions and quantitative genetic inheritance. Species evolve along a one-dimensional trait axis that allows for changes in both niche position and species intrinsic growth rates. There are three main results. First, the breadth of the environment has a strong effect on the dynamics, with broader environments leading to reduced niche overlap and enhanced coexistence. Second, coexistence often involves a reduction in niche overlap while competitive differences stay relatively constant or vice versa; in general changes in competitive differences maintain coexistence only when niche overlap remains constant. Large simultaneous changes in niche overlap and competitive difference often result in one of the species being excluded. Third, provided that the species evolve to a state where they coexist, the final niche overlap and competitive difference values are independent of the systems initial state, although they do depend on the models parameters. The model suggests that evolution is often a destructive force for coexistence due to evolutionary changes in competitive differences, a finding that expands the paradox of diversity maintenance. A two-species eco-evolutionary model based on consumer-resource interactions and quantitative genetic inheritance shows how evolution among competitors changes the components of stable coexistence.

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  • 26.
    Pasztor, Liz
    et al.
    Eotvos Lorand Univ, Hungary; Hungarian Acad Sci MTA, Hungary.
    Barabas, György
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Theoretical Biology. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering. ELTE, Hungary.
    Meszena, Geza
    ELTE, Hungary; ELTE, Hungary.
    Competitive Exclusion and Evolution: Convergence Almost Never Produces Ecologically Equivalent Species2020In: American Naturalist, ISSN 0003-0147, E-ISSN 1537-5323, Vol. 195, no 4, p. E112-E117Article in journal (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    In a recent modeling study ("Limiting Similarity? The Ecological Dynamics of Natural Selection among Resources and Consumers Caused by Both Apparent and Resource Competition") that appeared in the April 2019 issue of The American Naturalist, Mark A. McPeek argued that ecologically equivalent species may emerge via competition-induced trait convergence, in conflict with naive expectations based on the limiting similarity principle. Although the emphasis on the possibility of the convergence of competitors is very timely, here we show that the proposed mechanism will only lead to actual coexistence in the converged state for specially chosen fine-tuned parameter settings. It is therefore not a robust mechanism for the evolution of ecologically equivalent species. We conclude that invoking trait convergence as an explanation for the co-occurrence of seemingly fully equivalent species in nature would be premature.

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  • 27.
    Rael, Rosalyn C.
    et al.
    Univ Michigan, MI 48109 USA; Tulane Univ, LA 70118 USA.
    D'Andrea, Rafael
    Univ Michigan, MI 48109 USA; Univ Illinois, IL 61801 USA.
    Barabas, György
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Theoretical Biology. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering. Univ Michigan, MI 48109 USA.
    Östling, Annette
    Univ Michigan, MI 48109 USA.
    Emergent niche structuring leads to increased differences from neutrality in species abundance distributions2018In: Ecology, ISSN 0012-9658, E-ISSN 1939-9170, Vol. 99, no 7, p. 1633-1643Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Species abundance distributions must reflect the dynamic processes involved in community assembly, but whether and when specific processes lead to distinguishable signals is not well understood. Biodiversity and species abundances may be shaped by a variety of influences, but particular attention has been paid to competition, which can involve neutral dynamics, where competitor abundances are governed only by demographic stochasticity and immigration, and dynamics driven by trait differences that enable stable coexistence through the formation of niches. Key recent studies of the species abundance patterns of communities with niches employ simple models with pre-imposed niche structure. These studies suggest that species abundance distributions are insensitive to the relative contributions of niche and neutral processes, especially when diversity is much higher than the number of niches. Here we analyze results from a stochastic population model with competition driven by trait differences. With this model, niche structure emerges as clumps of species that persist along the trait axis, and leads to more substantial differences from neutral species abundance distributions than have been previously shown. We show that heterogeneity in between-niche interaction strength (i.e., in the strength of competition between species in different niches) plays the dominant role in shaping the species abundances along the trait axis, acting as a biotic filter favoring species at the centers of niches. Furthermore, we show that heterogeneity in within-niche interactions (i.e., in the competition between species in the same niche) counteracts the influence of heterogeneity in between-niche interactions on the SAD to some degree. Our results suggest that competitive interactions that produce niches can also influence the shapes of SADs.

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  • 28.
    Rossberg, Axel G.
    et al.
    Queen Mary Univ London, England.
    Barabas, György
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Theoretical Biology. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering. Eotvos Lorand Univ, Hungary.
    How Carefully Executed Network Theory Informs Invasion Ecology2019In: Trends in Ecology & Evolution, ISSN 0169-5347, E-ISSN 1872-8383, Vol. 34, no 5, p. 385-386Article in journal (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    n/a

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  • 29.
    Rossberg, Axel G.
    et al.
    Queen Mary Univ London, England; Int Initiat Theoret Ecol, England.
    Barabas, György
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Theoretical Biology. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering. ELTE MTA Theoret Biol and Evolutionary Ecol Res Grp, Hungary; Int Initiat Theoret Ecol, England.
    Possingham, Hugh P.
    Nature Conservancy, VA 22203 USA; Univ Queensland, Australia.
    Pascual, Mercedes
    Univ Chicago, IL 60637 USA; Santa Fe Inst, NM 87501 USA.
    Marquet, Pablo A.
    Pontificia Univ Catolica Chile, Chile.
    Hui, Cang
    Univ Stellenbosch, South Africa; African Inst Math Sci, South Africa.
    Evans, Matthew R.
    Univ Hong Kong, Peoples R China.
    Meszena, Geza
    ELTE MTA Theoret Biol and Evolutionary Ecol Res Grp, Hungary; Eotvos Lorand Univ, Hungary; Int Initiat Theoret Ecol, England.
    Lets Train More Theoretical Ecologists - Here Is Why2019In: Trends in Ecology & Evolution, ISSN 0169-5347, E-ISSN 1872-8383, Vol. 34, no 9, p. 759-762Article in journal (Other academic)
    Abstract [en]

    A tangled web of vicious circles, driven by cultural issues, has prevented ecology from growing strong theoretical roots. Now this hinders development of effective conservation policies. To overcome these barriers in view of urgent societal needs, we propose a global network of postgraduate theoretical training programs.

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  • 30.
    Song, Chuliang
    et al.
    MIT, MA 02139 USA.
    Barabas, György
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Theoretical Biology. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering. Eotvos Lorand Univ MTA ELTE, Hungary.
    Saavedra, Serguei
    MIT, MA 02139 USA.
    On the Consequences of the Interdependence of Stabilizing and Equalizing Mechanisms2019In: American Naturalist, ISSN 0003-0147, E-ISSN 1537-5323, Vol. 194, no 5, p. 627-639Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    We present an overlooked but important property of modern coexistence theory (MCT), along with two key new results and their consequences. The overlooked property is that stabilizing mechanisms (increasing species niche differences) and equalizing mechanisms (reducing species fitness differences) have two distinct sets of meanings within MCT: one in a two-species context and another in a general multispecies context. We demonstrate that the two-species framework is not a special case of the multispecies one, and therefore these two parallel frameworks must be studied independently. Our first result is that, using the two-species framework and mechanistic consumer-resource models, stabilizing and equalizing mechanisms exhibit complex interdependence, such that changing one will simultaneously change the other. Furthermore, the nature and direction of this simultaneous change sensitively depend on model parameters. The second result states that while MCT is often seen as bridging niche and neutral modes of coexistence by building a niche-neutrality continuum, the interdependence between stabilizing and equalizing mechanisms acts to break this continuum under almost any biologically relevant circumstance. We conclude that the complex entanglement of stabilizing and equalizing terms makes their impact on coexistence difficult to understand, but by seeing them as aggregated effects (rather than underlying causes) of coexistence, we may increase our understanding of ecological dynamics.

  • 31.
    Weiss-Lehman, Christopher P.
    et al.
    Univ Wyoming, WY 82071 USA.
    Werner, Chhaya M.
    Univ Wyoming, WY 82071 USA.
    Bowler, Catherine H.
    Univ Queensland, Australia.
    Hallett, Lauren M.
    Univ Oregon, OR 97403 USA; Univ Oregon, OR 97403 USA.
    Mayfield, Margaret M.
    Univ Queensland, Australia.
    Godoy, Oscar
    Univ Cadiz, Spain.
    Aoyama, Lina
    Univ Oregon, OR 97403 USA; Univ Oregon, OR 97403 USA.
    Barabas, György
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Theoretical Biology. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering.
    Chu, Chengjin
    Sun Yat Sen Univ, Peoples R China; Sun Yat Sen Univ, Peoples R China.
    Ladouceur, Emma
    German Ctr Integrat Biodivers Res iDiv Leipzig Ha, Germany; UFZ Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res, Germany.
    Larios, Loralee
    Univ Calif Riverside, CA 92521 USA.
    Shoemaker, Lauren G.
    Univ Wyoming, WY 82071 USA.
    Disentangling key species interactions in diverse and heterogeneous communities: A Bayesian sparse modelling approach2022In: Ecology Letters, ISSN 1461-023X, E-ISSN 1461-0248, Vol. 25, no 5, p. 1263-1276Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Modelling species interactions in diverse communities traditionally requires a prohibitively large number of species-interaction coefficients, especially when considering environmental dependence of parameters. We implemented Bayesian variable selection via sparsity-inducing priors on non-linear species abundance models to determine which species interactions should be retained and which can be represented as an average heterospecific interaction term, reducing the number of model parameters. We evaluated model performance using simulated communities, computing out-of-sample predictive accuracy and parameter recovery across different input sample sizes. We applied our method to a diverse empirical community, allowing us to disentangle the direct role of environmental gradients on species intrinsic growth rates from indirect effects via competitive interactions. We also identified a few neighbouring species from the diverse community that had non-generic interactions with our focal species. This sparse modelling approach facilitates exploration of species interactions in diverse communities while maintaining a manageable number of parameters.

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  • 32.
    Zhang, Helin
    et al.
    Jiangxi Normal Univ, Peoples R China.
    Bearup, Daniel
    Univ Kent, England.
    Barabas, György
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Ecological and Environmental Modeling. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering. Ctr Ecol Res, Hungary.
    Fagan, William F.
    Univ Maryland, MD USA.
    Nijs, Ivan
    Univ Antwerp, Belgium.
    Chen, Dongdong
    Chinese Acad Sci, Peoples R China; Chinese Acad Sci, Peoples R China.
    Liao, Jinbao
    Jiangxi Normal Univ, Peoples R China; Yunnan Univ, Peoples R China.
    Complex nonmonotonic responses of biodiversity to habitat destruction2023In: Ecology, ISSN 0012-9658, E-ISSN 1939-9170, Vol. 104, no 12, article id e4177Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    It has typically been assumed that habitat destruction, characterized by habitat loss and fragmentation, has consistently negative effects on biodiversity. While numerous empirical studies have shown the detrimental effects of habitat loss, debate continues as to whether habitat fragmentation has universally negative effects. To explore the effects of habitat fragmentation, we developed a simple model for site-occupancy dynamics in fragmented landscapes. With the model, we demonstrate that a competition-colonization trade-off can result in nonlinear oscillatory responses in biodiversity to both habitat loss and fragmentation. However, the overall pattern of habitat loss reducing species richness is still established, in line with empirical observations. Interestingly, the existence of localized oscillations in biodiversity can explain the mixed responses of species richness to habitat fragmentation per se observed in nature, thereby reconciling the debate on the fragmentation-diversity relationship. Therefore, this study offers a parsimonious mechanistic explanation for empirically observed biodiversity patterns in response to habitat destruction.

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  • 33.
    Zhang, Helin
    et al.
    Jiangxi Normal Univ, Peoples R China.
    Bearup, Daniel
    Univ Kent, England.
    Nijs, Ivan
    Univ Antwerp, Belgium.
    Wang, Shaopeng
    Peking Univ, Peoples R China.
    Barabas, György
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Theoretical Biology. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering. MTA ELTE Theoret Biol & Evolutionary Ecol Res Grp, Hungary.
    Tao, Yi
    Chinese Acad Sci, Peoples R China; Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Peoples R China.
    Liao, Jinbao
    Jiangxi Normal Univ, Peoples R China.
    Dispersal network heterogeneity promotes species coexistence in hierarchical competitive communities2021In: Ecology Letters, ISSN 1461-023X, E-ISSN 1461-0248, Vol. 24, no 1, p. 50-59Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Understanding the mechanisms of biodiversity maintenance is a fundamental issue in ecology. The possibility that species disperse within the landscape along differing paths presents a relatively unexplored mechanism by which diversity could emerge. By embedding a classical metapopulation model within a network framework, we explore how access to different dispersal networks can promote species coexistence. While it is clear that species with the same demography cannot coexist stably on shared dispersal networks, we find that coexistence is possible on unshared networks, as species can surprisingly form self-organised clusters of occupied patches with the most connected patches at the core. Furthermore, a unimodal biodiversity response to an increase in species colonisation rates or average patch connectivity emerges in unshared networks. Increasing network size also increases species richness monotonically, producing characteristic species-area curves. This suggests that, in contrast to previous predictions, many more species can co-occur than the number of limiting resources.

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  • 34.
    Åkesson, Anna
    et al.
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Theoretical Biology. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering.
    Curtsdotter, Alva
    Univ New England, Australia.
    Eklöf, Anna
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Theoretical Biology. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering.
    Ebenman, Bo
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Theoretical Biology. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering.
    Norberg, Jon
    Stockholm Univ, Sweden.
    Barabas, György
    Linköping University, Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology, Theoretical Biology. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering. MTA ELTE Theoret Biol & Evolutionary Ecol Res Grp, Hungary.
    The importance of species interactions in eco-evolutionary community dynamics under climate change2021In: Nature Communications, E-ISSN 2041-1723, Vol. 12, no 1, article id 4759Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    Eco-evolutionary dynamics are essential in shaping the biological response of communities to ongoing climate change. Here we develop a spatially explicit eco-evolutionary framework which features more detailed species interactions, integrating evolution and dispersal. We include species interactions within and between trophic levels, and additionally, we incorporate the feature that species interspecific competition might change due to increasing temperatures and affect the impact of climate change on ecological communities. Our modeling framework captures previously reported ecological responses to climate change, and also reveals two key results. First, interactions between trophic levels as well as temperature-dependent competition within a trophic level mitigate the negative impact of climate change on biodiversity, emphasizing the importance of understanding biotic interactions in shaping climate change impact. Second, our trait-based perspective reveals a strong positive relationship between the within-community variation in preferred temperatures and the capacity to respond to climate change. Temperature-dependent competition consistently results both in higher trait variation and more responsive communities to altered climatic conditions. Our study demonstrates the importance of species interactions in an eco-evolutionary setting, further expanding our knowledge of the interplay between ecological and evolutionary processes. Understanding the dynamics of species interactions can help predict community responses to climate change. A spatially explicit model finds that species interactions and competition mitigate the harmful impacts of climate change, and that temperature-dependent competition makes communities more variable and responsive to changing climates.

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