Premenopausal breast cancer patients have an increased risk of distant recurrence, but their long-term risk remains unclear. Notably, over 90% of estrogen receptor (ER) positive tumors in premenopausal patients are also progesterone receptor (PR) positive, compared to 70% in postmenopausal patients. We aimed to determine whether PR intra-tumor heterogeneity influences long-term risk of distant recurrence and endocrine therapy benefit in premenopausal breast cancer patients. We conducted a secondary analysis of the Stockholm tamoxifen (STO-5) randomized controlled trial (1990-1997) with 20-year complete follow-up, including 924 premenopausal women with operable breast cancer in Stockholm, Sweden. Patients were randomized to 2 years of adjuvant endocrine therapy or control, with lymph node-positive patients receiving standard chemotherapy (CMF). Tumor blocks were available for 731 patients. PR intra-tumor heterogeneity was assessed by measuring variation in PR immunohistochemical staining intensity in whole tumor slides and was categorized as high or low for 520 ER-positive/PR-positive patients. Distant recurrence-free interval (DRFI) by PR heterogeneity was analyzed using Kaplan-Meier, multivariable Cox proportional-hazards regression, and multivariable time-varying flexible parametric modeling. We found PR intra-tumor heterogeneity significantly impacted 20-year DRFI (log-rank p = .002). Patients with high intra-tumor heterogeneity had a significantly increased risk of distant recurrence, compared to patients with low heterogeneity (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.42; 95% CI, 1.02-1.96). Similar results were observed in HER2-negative patients. Patients with high PR heterogeneity significantly benefited from endocrine therapy (HR = 0.41; 95% CI, 0.24-0.71). These findings suggest that premenopausal patients with high PR heterogeneity have increased long-term risk but significantly benefit from endocrine therapy.

Background Estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer patients have a long-term risk of distant metastatic disease, and premenopausal patients have a higher risk. Randomized studies with long-term follow-up are essential to understand treatment benefit. We elucidated the long-term tamoxifen therapy benefit by menopausal status in the Stockholm tamoxifen trials with 20 years complete follow-up. Methods Secondary analysis of 1242 estrogen receptor-positive and HER2-negative patients that were randomly assigned to 2-5 years of 40 mg adjuvant tamoxifen or no endocrine therapy. Distant recurrence-free interval in tamoxifen-treated vs endocrine untreated patients was assessed by Kaplan-Meier, Cox proportional hazards regression, and time-varying analyses. Results In premenopausal patients, a statistically significant tamoxifen benefit was observed for lymph node-negative (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 0.46, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.24 to 0.87), progesterone receptor-positive (adjusted HR = 0.61, 95% CI = 0.41 to 0.91), and genomic low-risk tumors (adjusted HR = 0.47, 95% CI = 0.26 to 0.85) but only lasted beyond 10 years for genomic low-risk tumors. Postmenopausal patients showed long-term benefit for all good-prognosis markers including low-grade (adjusted HR = 0.55, 95% CI = 0.41 to 0.73), lymph node-negative (adjusted HR = 0.44, 95% CI = 0.30 to 0.64), progesterone receptor-positive (adjusted HR = 0.60, 95% CI = 0.44 to 0.80), Ki-67 low (adjusted HR = 0.51, 95% CI = 0.38 to 0.68), and genomic low-risk tumors (adjusted HR = 0.53, 95% CI = 0.37 to 0.74), and regardless of tumor size (<= 20 mm: adjusted HR = 0.55, 95% CI = 0.39 to 0.77; >20 mm: adjusted HR = 0.64, 95% CI = 0.44 to 0.94). Premenopausal patients with no poor-prognosis tumor characteristics (clinical marker score = 0) showed early benefit and postmenopausal long-term benefit. Conclusions Our study suggests differential tamoxifen benefit by menopausal status. Improved long-term endocrine therapy prediction in premenopausal patients is needed and could involve molecular markers because standard tumor characteristics cannot predict benefit beyond 10 years.

The metastatic potential of estrogen receptor (ER)-positive breast cancers is heterogeneous and distant recurrences occur months to decades after primary diagnosis. We have previously shown that patients with tumors classified as ultralow risk by the 70-gene signature have a minimal long-term risk of fatal breast cancer. Here, we evaluate the previously unexplored underlying clinical and molecular characteristics of ultralow risk tumors in 538 ER-positive patients from the Stockholm tamoxifen randomized trial (STO-3). Out of the 98 ultralow risk tumors, 89% were luminal A molecular subtype, whereas 26% of luminal A tumors were of ultralow risk. Compared to other ER-positive tumors, ultralow risk tumors were significantly (Fishers test, P < .05) more likely to be of smaller tumor size, lower grade, progesterone receptor (PR)-positive, human epidermal growth factor 2 (HER2)-negative and have low Ki-67 levels (proliferation-marker). Moreover, ultralow risk tumors showed significantly lower expression scores of multi-gene modules associated with the AKT/mTOR-pathway, proliferation (AURKA), HER2/ERBB2-signaling, IGF1-pathway, PTEN-loss and immune response (IMMUNE1 and IMMUNE2) and higher expression scores of the PIK3CA-mutation-associated module. Furthermore, 706 genes were significantly (FDR < 0.001) differentially expressed in ultralow risk tumors, including lower expression of genes involved in immune response, PI3K/Akt/mTOR-pathway, histones, cell cycle, DNA repair, apoptosis and higher expression of genes coding for epithelial-to-mesenchymal transition and homeobox proteins, among others. In conclusion, ultralow risk tumors, associated with minimal long-term risk of fatal disease, differ from other ER-positive tumors, including luminal A molecular subtype tumors. Identification of these characteristics is important to improve our prediction of nonfatal vs fatal breast cancer.

IMPORTANCE Clinically used breast cancer markers, such as tumor size, tumor grade, progesterone receptor (PR) status, and Ki-67 status, are known to be associated with short-term survival, but the association of these markers with long-term (25-year) survival is unclear. OBJECTIVE To assess the association of clinically used breast cancer markers with long-term survival and treatment benefit among postmenopausal women with lymph node-negative, estrogen receptor [ER]-positive and ERBB2-negative breast cancer who received tamoxifen therapy. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS This study was a secondary analysis of data from a subset of 565 women with ER-positive/ERBB2-negative breast cancer who participated in the Stockholm tamoxifen (STO-3) randomized clinical trial. The STO-3 clinical trial was conducted from 1976 to 1990 and comprised 1780 postmenopausal women with lymph node-negative breast cancer who were randomized to receive adjuvant tamoxifen therapy or no endocrine therapy. Complete 25-year follow-up data through December 31, 2016, were obtained from Swedish national registers. Immunohistochemical markers were reannotated in 2014. Data were analyzed from April to December 2020. INTERVENTIONS Patients in the original STO-3 clinical trial were randomized to receive 2 years of tamoxifen therapy vs no endocrine therapy. In 1983, patients who received tamoxifen therapy without cancer recurrence during the 2-year treatment and who consented to continued participation in the STO-3 study were further randomized to receive 3 additional years of tamoxifen therapy or no endocrine therapy. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES Distant recurrence-free interval (DRFI) by clinically used breast cancer markers was assessed using Kaplan-Meier and multivariable Cox proportional hazards analyses adjusted for age, period of primary diagnosis, tumor size (T1a and T1b [T1a/b], T1c, and T2), tumor grade (1-3), PR status (positive vs negative), Ki-67 status (low vs medium to high), and STO-3 clinical trial arm (tamoxifen treatment vs no adjuvant treatment). A recursive partitioning analysis was performed to evaluate which markers were able to best estimate long-term DRFI. RESULTS The study population comprised 565 postmenopausal women (mean [SD] age, 62.0 [5.3] years) with lymph node-negative, ER-positive/ERBB2-negative breast cancer. A statistically significant difference in long-term DRFI was observed by tumor size (88% for T1a/b vs 76% for T1c vs 63% for T2 tumors; log-rank P <.001) and tumor grade (81% for grade 1 vs 77% for grade 2 vs 65% for grade 3 tumors; log-rank P =.02) but not by PR status or Ki-67 status. Patients with smaller tumors (hazard ratio [HR], 0.31 [95% CI, 0.17-0.55] for T1a/b tumors and 0.58 [95% CI, 0.38-0.88] for T1c tumors) and grade 1 tumors (HR, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.24-0.95) experienced a significant reduction in the long-term risk of distant recurrence compared with patients with larger (T2) tumors and grade 3 tumors, respectively. A significant tamoxifen treatment benefitwas observed among patients with larger tumors (HR, 0.53 [95% CI, 0.32-0.89] for T1c tumors and 0.34 [95% CI, 0.16-0.73] for T2 tumors), lower tumor grades (HR, 0.24 [95% CI, 0.07-0.82] for grade 1 tumors and 0.50 [95% CI, 0.31-0.80] for grade 2 tumors), and PR-positive status (HR, 0.38; 95% CI, 0.24-0.62). The recursive partitioning analysis revealed that tumor sizewas the most important characteristic associated with long-term survival, followed by clinical trial arm among patients with larger tumors. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE This secondary analysis of data from the STO-3 clinical trial indicated that, among the selected subgroup of patients, tumor size followed by tumor grade were the markers most significantly associated with long-term survival. Furthermore, a significant long-term tamoxifen treatment benefit was observed among patients with larger tumors, lower tumor grades, and PR-positive tumors.

Background: Invasive lobular carcinoma (ILC) comprises 8-15 % of all invasive breast cancers and large population-based studies with >10 years of follow-up are rare. Whether ILC has a long-time prognosis different from that of invasive ductal carcinoma, (IDC) remains controversial. Purpose: To investigate the excess mortality rate ratio (EMRR) of patients with ILC and IDC and to correlate survival with clinical parameters in a large population-based cohort. Material and methods: From 1989 through 2006, we identified 17,481 patients diagnosed with IDC (n = 14,583) or ILC (n = 2898), younger than 76 years from two Swedish Regional Cancer Registries. Relative survival (RS) during 20 years of follow up was analysed. Results: ILC was significantly associated with older age, larger tumours, ER positivity and well differentiated tumours. We noticed an improved survival for patients with ILC during the first five years, excess mortality rate ratio (EMRR) 0.64 (CI 95 % 0.53-0.77). This was shifted to a significant decreased survival 10-15 years after diagnosis (EMRR 1.49, CI 95 % 1.16-1.93). After 20 years the relative survival rates were similar, 0.72 for ILC and 0.73 for IDC. Conclusions: During the first five years after surgery, the EMRR was lower for patients with ILC as compared to patients with IDC, but during the years 10-15 after surgery, we observed an increased EMRR for patients with ILC as compared to IDC. These EMRR between ILC and IDC were statistically significant but the absolute difference in excess mortality between the two groups was small. (c) 2021 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).

Over the last few decades, improved and more individualized treatment has contributed to the increased survival rate of patients with breast cancer. However, certain patients may receive excessive treatment resulting in undesired side effects. In a previous study, it was demonstrated that systemically untreated patients with estrogen receptor (ER)-positive/progesterone receptor (PR)-negative tumors with high Ras-related protein Rab-6C (RAB6C) expression levels (RAB6C(+)) had prolonged distant recurrence-free survival compared with that of patients exhibiting low RAB6C (RAB6C(-))-expressing tumors. The aim of the present study was to investigate whether RAB6C predicts the effectiveness of tamoxifen treatment. The present study used a dataset comprising 486 female patients with ER+ tumors from a randomized study conducted by the Stockholm Breast Cancer Study Group between November 1976 and August 1990. The patients were considered as low-risk if their tumor size was <= 30 mm and their lymph node status was negative. Patients were followed up until distant recurrence, mortality or when 25 years after randomization was achieved, whichever occurred first. For patients with ER+/PR-/RAB6C(+) tumors, prolonged distant recurrence-free survival could not be observed if the patients were treated with tamoxifen [hazard ratio (HR), 1.82; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.69-4.79; P=0.23], whereas patients with ER+/PR-/RAB6C(-) tumors had 75% reduced distant recurrence risk (HR, 0.25; 95% CI, 0.09-0.70; P=0.008). In the ER+/PR+ subgroup, patients with RAB6C(-) and RAB6C(+) tumors benefited from tamoxifen treatment, though it was most evident in the RAB6C(+) group (HR, 0.27; 95% CI, 0.13-0.58; P=0.001). The results of the present study indicated that, for patients with ER+/PR- tumors, those with low RAB6C expression benefited from tamoxifen treatment, whereas no benefit was observed in patients with high RAB6C levels.

Background: Although the androgen receptor (AR) is frequently expressed in breast cancer, its relevance in the disease is not fully understood. In addition, the relevance of AR in determining tamoxifen treatment efficiency requires evaluation. Purpose: To investigate the tamoxifen predictive relevance of the AR protein expression in breast cancer. Methods Patients were randomised to tamoxifen 40 mg daily for 2 or 5 years or to no endocrine treatment. Mean follow-up was 15 years. Hazard ratios were calculated with recurrence-free survival as end point. Results: In patients with oestrogen receptor (ER)-negative tumours, expression of AR predicted decreased recurrence rate with tamoxifen (hazard ratio (HR) = 0.34; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.14-0.81; P = 0.015), whereas the opposite was seen in the AR- group (HR = 2.92; 95% CI = 1.16-7.31; P = 0.022). Interaction test was significant P < 0.001. Patients with triple-negative and AR+ tumours benefitted from tamoxifen treatment (HR = 0.12; 95% CI = 0.014-0.95 P = 0.044), whereas patients with AR- tumours had worse outcome when treated with tamoxifen (HR = 3.98; 95% CI = 1.32-12.03; P = 0.014). Interaction test was significant P = 0.003. Patients with ER+ tumours showed benefit from tamoxifen treatment regardless of AR expression. Conclusions: AR can predict tamoxifen treatment benefit in patients with ER- tumours and triple-negative breast cancer.

PURPOSE: Estrogen-related receptor alpha (ERRα) signaling has recently been implicated in breast cancer. We investigated the clinical value of ERRα in randomized cohorts of tamoxifen-treated and adjuvant-untreated patients.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: Cox proportional hazards regression was used to evaluate the significance of associations between ERRα gene expression levels and patient DMFS in a previously published microarray dataset representing 2,000 breast tumor cases derived from multiple medical centers worldwide. The 912 tumors used for immunostaining were from a tamoxifen-randomized primary breast cancer trial conducted in Stockholm, Sweden, during 1976-1990. Mouse model was used to study the effect of tamoxifen treatment on lung colonization of MDA-MB-231 control cells and MDA-MB-231 cells with stable knockdown of ERRα. The phenotypic effects associated with ERRα modulation were studied using immunoblotting analyses and wound-healing assay.

RESULTS: We found that in ER-negative and triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) adjuvant-untreated patients, ERRα expression indicated worse prognosis and correlated with poor outcome predictors. However, in tamoxifen-treated patients, an improved outcome was observed with high ERRα gene and protein expression. Reduced ERRα expression was oncogenic in the presence of tamoxifen, measured by in vitro proliferation and migration assays and in vivo metastasis studies.

CONCLUSION: Taken together, these data show that ERRα expression predicts response to tamoxifen treatment, and ERRα could be a biomarker of tamoxifen sensitivity and a prognostic factor in TNBC. Clin Cancer Res; 1-11. ©2015 AACR.

Few biomarkers exist to predict radiotherapy response in breast cancer. In vitro studies suggest a role for Met and its ligand HGF. To study this suggested role, MET and HGF gene copy numbers were determined by droplet digital PCR in tumours from 205 pre-menopausal and 184 post-menopausal patients, both cohorts randomised to receive either chemo-or radiotherapy. MET amplification was found in 8% of the patients in both cohorts and HGF amplification in 7% and 6% of the patients in the pre-and post-menopausal cohort, respectively. Met, phosphorylated Met (pMet), and HGF protein expression was determined by immunohistochemistry in the premenopausal cohort. Met, pMet, and HGF was expressed in 33%, 53%, and 49% of the tumours, respectively. MET amplification was associated with increased risk of distant recurrence for patients receiving chemotherapy. For the pre-menopausal patients, expression of cytoplasmic pMet and HGF significantly predicted benefit from radiotherapy in terms of loco-regional recurrence. Similar trends were seen for MET and HGF copy gain. In the post-menopausal cohort, no significant association of benefit from radiotherapy with neither genes nor proteins was found. The present results do not support that inhibition of Met prior to radiotherapy would be favourable for pre-menopausal breast cancer, as previously suggested.

Purpose The aim of this study was to evaluate the long-term effect of 2 years of adjuvant tamoxifen compared with no systemic treatment (control) in premenopausal patients with breast cancer over different time periods through long-term (amp;gt; 25 years) follow-up. Patients and Methods Premenopausal patients with primary breast cancer (N = 564) were randomly assigned to 2 years of tamoxifen (n = 276) or no systemic treatment (n = 288). Data regarding date and cause of death were obtained from the Swedish Cause of Death Register. End points were cumulative mortality (CM) and cumulative breast cancer-related mortality (CBCM). The median follow-up for the 250 patients still alive in April 2014 was 26.3 years (range, 22.7 to 29.7 years). Results In patients with estrogen receptor-positive tumors (n = 362), tamoxifen was associated with a marginal reduction in CM (hazard ratio [HR], 0.77; 95% CI, 0.58 to 1.03; P = .075) and a significant reduction in CBCM (HR, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.53 to 0.99; P = .046). The effect seemed to vary over time (CM years 0 to 5: HR, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.64 to 1.73; years amp;gt;5 to 15: HR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.37 to 0.91; and after 15 years: HR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.48 to 1.42; CBCM years 0 to 5: HR, 1.09; 95% CI, 0.65 to 1.82; years amp;gt;5 to 15: HR, 0.53; 95% CI, 0.33 to 0.86; and after 15 years: HR, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.36 to 1.44). Conclusion Two years of adjuvant tamoxifen resulted in a long-term survival benefit in premenopausal patients with estrogen receptor-positive primary breast cancer. (C) 2016 by American Society of Clinical Oncology. Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial No Derivatives 4.0 License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/