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Cai, S., Simonsson, C., Karlsson, M., Balkhed, W., Tellman, J., Ignatova, S., . . . Lundberg, P. (2026). Chronic Liver Disease: Assessing Inflammation and Fibrosis Using Three‐Dimensional MR Elastography With Same‐Day Biopsy in a Prospective Cohort. Journal of Magnetic Resonance Imaging, 64(1), 306-319, Article ID jmri.70319.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Chronic Liver Disease: Assessing Inflammation and Fibrosis Using Three‐Dimensional MR Elastography With Same‐Day Biopsy in a Prospective Cohort
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2026 (English)In: Journal of Magnetic Resonance Imaging, ISSN 1053-1807, E-ISSN 1522-2586, Vol. 64, no 1, p. 306-319, article id jmri.70319Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Background: Three-dimensional (3D) MR elastography (MRE) derives viscoelastic parameters that may reflect inflammation, but their frequency dependence and the influence of steatosis on inflammation grading and fibrosis staging remain unclear.

Purpose: To investigate 3D multifrequency MRE for assessing hepatic inflammation, fibrosis stage across frequencies, and the influence of steatosis.

Study Type: Prospective.

Population: Sixty-four (40 men, median age: 58 years) participants with chronic liver disease (CLD); 21 (8 men, median age:28 years) healthy volunteers.

Field Strength/Sequence: 3-T; gradient-echo sequence with mechanical vibrations at low (16.7 and 18 Hz), medium (33.4 and 36 Hz), and high (50.1 and 54 Hz) frequencies.

Assessment: In CLD participants, MRE-derived viscoelastic parameters, shear stiffness, storage modulus, loss modulus, and damping ratio were compared with histologically assessed fibrosis, inflammation, and steatosis. MRE test–retest repeatability over 10 min was evaluated in healthy volunteers.

Statistical Tests: Wilcoxon rank sum test, Spearman's correlation, multivariable regression analysis, and area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC). A p value of < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Results: Inflammation was significantly independently associated with damping ratio at medium frequency, which showed moderate performance for grading inflammation (AUROC = 0.76–0.83, sensitivity = 0.83–0.84, specificity = 0.70–0.79). Fibrosis staging using shear stiffness and moduli showed high diagnostic performance (AUROC = 0.82–0.95), with comparable accuracy between medium and high frequencies (p = 0.327–0.896). Steatosis was not significantly correlated with MRE overall (p = 0.212–0.459), but was significantly associated with 19% higher stiffness and 20% higher loss modulus at medium frequency in CLD participants without fibrosis or inflammation.

Data Conclusion: Medium frequency 3D MRE demonstrated an independent association with inflammation while preserving accurate fibrosis assessment. Steatosis seemed not to confound MRE-based evaluation.

Level of Evidence: 1.

Technical Efficacy: Stage 2.

Plain Language Summary: Chronic liver disease can cause both inflammation and scarring (fibrosis). Accurate assessment usually requires a biopsy, which is invasive. This study evaluated a noninvasive imaging method called three-dimensional magnetic resonance elastography (3D MRE) in patients who underwent same-day liver biopsy. The researchers tested whether different vibration frequencies could detect inflammation and fibrosis. They found that medium frequency measurements were associated with liver inflammation while still accurately identifying fibrosis. Fat accumulation in the liver did not significantly affect the results. These findings suggest that 3D MRE may help medical doctors assess liver inflammation and fibrosis noninvasively in a single examination.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
John Wiley & Sons, 2026
Keywords
Chronic liver disease, Fibrosis, Inflammation, MR elastography, Steatosis
National Category
Gastroenterology and Hepatology Medical Imaging Radiology and Medical Imaging
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-222446 (URN)10.1002/jmri.70319 (DOI)001732121800001 ()41924972 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-105034898236 (Scopus ID)
Note

Funding: This work was supported by Vinnova (Sweden's Innovation Agency), the Swedish Research Council for Engineering Sciences and Natural Sciences (VR/NT), 2020-04826, and ALF funding (Avtal om Läkarutbildning och Forskning; Agreement on Medical Education and Research) from Region Östergötland (Östergötland County Council).

Available from: 2026-04-02 Created: 2026-04-02 Last updated: 2026-06-26
Byenfeldt, M., Grönlund, C., Nasr, P., Lindam, A., Ekstedt, M., Lundberg, P. & Kihlberg, J. (2026). Detection of hepatic steatosis with ultrasound-guided attenuation parameter (UGAP) in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) compared with proton density fat fraction (PDFF): Impact of measurement number and region of interest (ROI) location. Ultrasound
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Detection of hepatic steatosis with ultrasound-guided attenuation parameter (UGAP) in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) compared with proton density fat fraction (PDFF): Impact of measurement number and region of interest (ROI) location
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2026 (English)In: Ultrasound, ISSN 1742-271XArticle in journal (Refereed) Epub ahead of print
Abstract [en]

Background:

The ultrasound-guided attenuation parameter is well established for hepatic steatosis detection in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease. The diagnostic performance of ultrasound-guided attenuation parameter was evaluated using different numbers of measurements at different lateral locations to detect hepatic steatosis ⩾ S1 in male and female patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease.

Methods:

A metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease cohort was prospectively enrolled in autumn of 2022. Ultrasound-guided attenuation parameter values obtained through one to five measurements, performed at single and multiple locations, were compared with proton density fat fraction. Presence of hepatic steatosis (i.e. ⩾ S1) with ultrasound-guided attenuation parameter was defined as a proton density fat fraction of ⩾ 5%. Diagnostic performance was evaluated based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.

Results:

Included 60 participants with an even sex distribution. Ultrasound-guided attenuation parameter diagnostic performance to detect hepatic steatosis ⩾ S1 did not significantly differ according to the number of measurements (from 1 to 5), different lateral locations, or patient sex. Ultrasound-guided attenuation parameter performed using five measurements in one location exhibited a receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.87 (95% confidence interval: 0.78, 0.97), and a threshold of 0.53 dB/cm/MHz, yielding 90% sensitivity and 65% specificity. Three measurements in multiple lateral locations exhibited a receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.91 (95% confidence interval: 0.84, 0.98), with a threshold of 0.58 dB/cm/MHz, yielding 95% sensitivity and 75% specificity.

Conclusion:

Ultrasound-guided attenuation parameter diagnostic performance to detect hepatic steatosis ⩾ S1 in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease is similar with regions of interest in single versus multiple lateral locations. Three measurements in multiple lateral locations appear sufficient to detect hepatic steatosis, which must be evaluated for all hepatic steatosis stages.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Sage Publications, 2026
Keywords
Fatty liver; ultrasonography; diagnostic techniques and procedures; magnetic resonance imaging; sex factors; data accuracy; diagnostic performance
National Category
Radiology and Medical Imaging
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-221350 (URN)10.1177/1742271x251407791 (DOI)001687504200001 ()41693867 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-105029936150 (Scopus ID)
Note

Funding: Wallenberg Centre for Molecular Medicine, Linkping University, Linkping, Sweden; County of Jmtland Cancer and Nursing Foundation Sweden; Swedish Research Council and County council stergtland Sweden; Lion's Cancer Research Foundation Ume University Sweden [LP 20-2221]; ALF Grants, County council stergtland, Medical Research Council of Southeast Sweden [752871]

Available from: 2026-02-18 Created: 2026-02-18 Last updated: 2026-02-26Bibliographically approved
Shang, Y., Vessby, J., Kant Mangla, K., Ota, R., Künkel Winther, M., Ekstedt, M. & Hagström, H. (2025). Association between invasive and noninvasive liver disease assessments and long-term clinical outcomes in MASLD. Scandinavian Journal of Gastroenterology, 60(12), 1226-1237
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Association between invasive and noninvasive liver disease assessments and long-term clinical outcomes in MASLD
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2025 (English)In: Scandinavian Journal of Gastroenterology, ISSN 0036-5521, E-ISSN 1502-7708, Vol. 60, no 12, p. 1226-1237Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Background and aims: Data are limited on how histology and noninvasive tests (NITs) for fibrosis severity in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) can predict future events. We aimed to confirm the prognostic capacity of liver fibrosis to predict major adverse liver outcomes (MALO), and to confirm previous findings of similar prognostic capacity between invasive and noninvasive fibrosis tests on long-term outcomes. Methods: This longitudinal observational cohort study (1974-2020) used data from adults with biopsy-defined MASLD from three Swedish university hospitals linked to national registers. Risks for MALO and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) were estimated using multivariable adjusted Cox regression models. Results: Median (mean) follow-up for the overall population (N = 959) was 11 (15) years; 103 (10.7%) developed MALO and 245/867 patients without baseline cardiovascular disease (28.3%) developed MACE. The risk of long-term MALO was significantly lower in patients at fibrosis stage F0, F1 and F2, compared with F4, but not between stages F3 and F4. No significant associations were observed between other histological features and incident MALO. Neither fibrosis stage nor histological features were significantly associated with incident MACE. Biopsy-defined fibrosis staging and Fibrosis-4 Index (FIB-4) scoring had similar predictive performance with unadjusted C-index (95% confidence interval) values for MALO of 0.77 (0.71-0.82) and 0.75 (0.69-0.80) and for cardiovascular-related outcomes 0.58 (0.53-0.60) and 0.65 (0.61-0.68), respectively. Conclusions: These data confirm the importance of liver fibrosis as the main predictor of long-term MALO. FIB-4 may aid in risk assessment and in predicting outcomes in MASLD.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD, 2025
Keywords
Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD); long-term outcomes; noninvasive fibrosis assessments; metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH); fibrosis
National Category
Gastroenterology and Hepatology
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-217893 (URN)10.1080/00365521.2025.2555911 (DOI)001571868600001 ()40951930 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-105016759436 (Scopus ID)
Note

Funding Agencies|Novo Nordisk A/S

Available from: 2025-09-24 Created: 2025-09-24 Last updated: 2026-03-24Bibliographically approved
Blomdahl, J., Åberg, M., Fridén, M., Ahlström, H., Hockings, P., Hulthe, J., . . . Vessby, J. (2025). Proteomic signatures for fibrosis in MASLD: a biopsy-proven dual-cohort study. Scandinavian Journal of Gastroenterology, 60(6), 597-605
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Proteomic signatures for fibrosis in MASLD: a biopsy-proven dual-cohort study
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2025 (English)In: Scandinavian Journal of Gastroenterology, ISSN 0036-5521, E-ISSN 1502-7708, Vol. 60, no 6, p. 597-605Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

ObjectivesPredicting disease progression in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is challenging, and current non-invasive tests (NITs) lack the precision to replace liver biopsy. This study aimed to identify plasma biomarkers for different stages of fibrosis using affinity-based proteomics in two biopsy-proven cohorts. The primary objective was to identify biomarkers capable of distinguishing between low-to-no fibrosis (F0-1) and significant fibrosis (F2-4) in MASLD.Materials and methodsParticipants in the discovery cohort were recruited from Uppsala University Hospital and Swedish CArdioPulmonary bioImage Study (SCAPIS), while the validation cohort was included from Link & ouml;ping University Hospital. All participants diagnosed with MASLD underwent liver biopsy and were categorized by fibrosis stage (F0-1 or F2-4). A total of 276 plasma proteins were analyzed using Olink (R) panels, with biomarkers identified through ordinal logistic regression, random forest (RF) analysis and the Boruta algorithm.ResultsThe discovery cohort included 60 participants, with 60% having fibrosis stage F0-1 and 40% having F2-4. The validation cohort had 59 participants, of whom 35 had fibrosis stage F0-1 (59.3%) and 24 had stage F2-4 (40.7%). Five biomarkers were significantly associated with fibrosis stage in the discovery cohort, with four confirmed in the validation cohort. A model combining angiotensin converting enzyme-2 (ACE2), hepatocyte growth factor (HGF) and insulin-like growth factor-binding protein-7 (IGFBP-7) demonstrated strong predictive performance for significant fibrosis (c-statistics 0.82-0.83), outperforming fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) (c-statistics 0.61-0.72).ConclusionsA biomarker model including ACE2, HGF and IGFBP7 shows promise in distinguishing between low-stage and significant fibrosis.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD, 2025
Keywords
Fibrosis; biomarkers; proteomics; biopsy; non-alcoholic fatty liver disease
National Category
Gastroenterology and Hepatology
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-213287 (URN)10.1080/00365521.2025.2490996 (DOI)001468365700001 ()40237197 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-105002970241 (Scopus ID)
Note

Funding Agencies|Erik, Karin and Goesta Selanders Foundation; Boehringer Ingelheim; Antaros Medical; ALF Grants, Region Ostergotland, Medical Research Council of Southeast Sweden

Available from: 2025-04-28 Created: 2025-04-28 Last updated: 2026-03-24Bibliographically approved
Hagström, H., Vessby, J., Ekstedt, M. & Shang, Y. (2024). 99% of patients with NAFLD meet MASLD criteria and natural history is therefore identical [Letter to the editor]. Journal of Hepatology, 80(2), e76-e77
Open this publication in new window or tab >>99% of patients with NAFLD meet MASLD criteria and natural history is therefore identical
2024 (English)In: Journal of Hepatology, ISSN 0168-8278, E-ISSN 1600-0641, Vol. 80, no 2, p. e76-e77Article in journal, Letter (Other academic) Published
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2024
National Category
Gastroenterology and Hepatology
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-200825 (URN)10.1016/j.jhep.2023.08.026 (DOI)001168775800001 ()37678723 (PubMedID)
Funder
Pfizer AB
Available from: 2024-02-08 Created: 2024-02-08 Last updated: 2025-02-11
Jönsson, C., Bergram, M., Kechagias, S., Nasr, P. & Ekstedt, M. (2024). Activin A levels in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease associates with fibrosis and the PNPLA3 I148M variant. Scandinavian Journal of Gastroenterology, 59(6), 737-741
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Activin A levels in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease associates with fibrosis and the PNPLA3 I148M variant
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2024 (English)In: Scandinavian Journal of Gastroenterology, ISSN 0036-5521, E-ISSN 1502-7708, Vol. 59, no 6, p. 737-741Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Background: Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is the most prevalent chronic liver condition worldwide. There is an urgent need to develop new biomarkers to assess disease severity and to define patients with a progressive phenotype. Activin A is a new promising biomarker with conflicting results about liver fibrosis. In this study we investigate levels of Activin A in patients with biopsy proven MASLD. We assess levels of Activin A in regard to fibrosis stage and genetic variant I148M in the patatin-like phospholipase domain-containing protein 3 (PNPLA3). Methods: Activin A levels were assessed in plasma samples from patients with biopsy-proven MASLD in a cross-sectional study. All patients were clinically evaluated and the PNPLA3 I148M genotype of the cohort was assessed. Findings41 patients were included and 27% of these had advanced fibrosis. In MASLD patients with advanced fibrosis, Activin A levels was higher (p &lt; 0.001) and could classify advanced fibrosis with an AUROC for activin A of 0.836 (p &lt; 0.001). Patients homozygous for PNPLA3 I148M G/G had higher levels of activin A than non-homozygotes (p = 0.027). Conclusions: Circulating activin A levels were associated with advanced fibrosis and could be a potential blood biomarker for identifying advanced fibrosis in MASLD. Patients with the risk genotype PNPLA3 I148M G/G had higher levels of activin A proposing activin A as a contributor of the transition from simple steatosis to a fibrotic phenotype.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD, 2024
Keywords
NAFLD; biomarkers; NIT; liver biopsy
National Category
Gastroenterology and Hepatology
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-202487 (URN)10.1080/00365521.2024.2334804 (DOI)001195714400001 ()38563432 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-85189778753 (Scopus ID)
Note

Funding Agencies|ALF Grants; Region Ostergotland; Swedish Medical Society; Bengt Ihre Foundation; Ruth and Richard Julin Foundation; Wallenberg Centre for Molecular Medicine, Linkoping University

Available from: 2024-04-15 Created: 2024-04-15 Last updated: 2026-09-02Bibliographically approved
Vacca, M., Kamzolas, I., Harder, L. M., Oakley, F., Trautwein, C., Hatting, M., . . . Brass, C. (2024). An unbiased ranking of murine dietary models based on their proximity to human metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). Nature Metabolism, 6(6), 1178-+
Open this publication in new window or tab >>An unbiased ranking of murine dietary models based on their proximity to human metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD)
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2024 (English)In: Nature Metabolism, E-ISSN 2522-5812, Vol. 6, no 6, p. 1178-+Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), previously known as non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, encompasses steatosis and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH), leading to cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. Preclinical MASLD research is mainly performed in rodents; however, the model that best recapitulates human disease is yet to be defined. We conducted a wide-ranging retrospective review (metabolic phenotype, liver histopathology, transcriptome benchmarked against humans) of murine models (mostly male) and ranked them using an unbiased MASLD 'human proximity score' to define their metabolic relevance and ability to induce MASH-fibrosis. Here, we show that Western diets align closely with human MASH; high cholesterol content, extended study duration and/or genetic manipulation of disease-promoting pathways are required to intensify liver damage and accelerate significant (F2+) fibrosis development. Choline- deficient models rapidly induce MASH-fibrosis while showing relatively poor translatability. Our ranking of commonly used MASLD models, based on their proximity to human MASLD, helps with the selection of appropriate in vivo models to accelerate preclinical research.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
NATURE PORTFOLIO, 2024
National Category
Gastroenterology and Hepatology
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-209103 (URN)10.1038/s42255-024-01043-6 (DOI)001287307700001 ()38867022 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-85195930089 (Scopus ID)
Note

Funding Agencies|multi-center study aiming to evaluate NAFLD biomarkers; Innovative Medicines Initiative 2 (IMI2) Joint Undertaking [777377]; European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation program; European Federation of Pharmaceutical Industries and Associations (EFPIA); European Bioinformatics Institute (EMBL-EBI); EMBL-EBI; Medical Research Council (MRC); University of Bari [S06-miRNASH]; Foundation for Liver Research; Associazione Italiana Ricerca sul Cancro [IG2022, 27521]; Ministry of University and Research on Next Generation EU Funds [P202222FCC, H53D23009960001, DD MUR 1366, 01-09-2023, H93C22000630001, DD MUR 1550, CN00000041, H93C22000430007, H93C22000450007]; MRC Metabolic Diseases Unit [(MC_UU_00014/5)]; UK MRC program [MR/K0019494/1, MR/R023026/1]; Fundacao para a Ciencia e Tecnologia [PTDC/MED-FAR/3492/2021]; La Caixa Foundation [LCF/PR/HR21/52410028]; Newcastle NIHR Biomedical Research Centre; National Institutes of Health (NIH) [NIH R01 DK128289, NCI 5P30CA196521-08, R01 DK136016]

Available from: 2024-11-05 Created: 2024-11-05 Last updated: 2025-04-30
Edin, C., Ekstedt, M., Karlsson, M., Wegmann, B., Warntjes, M., Swahn, E., . . . Carlhäll, C.-J. (2024). Liver fibrosis is associated with left ventricular remodeling: insight into the liver-heart axis. European Radiology
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Liver fibrosis is associated with left ventricular remodeling: insight into the liver-heart axis
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2024 (English)In: European Radiology, ISSN 0938-7994, E-ISSN 1432-1084Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Objective: In non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), liver fibrosis is the strongest predictor of adverse outcomes. We sought to investigate the relationship between liver fibrosis and cardiac remodeling in participants from the general population using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), as well as explore potential mechanistic pathways by analyzing circulating cardiovascular biomarkers.

Methods: In this cross-sectional study, we prospectively included participants with type 2 diabetes and individually matched controls from the SCAPIS (Swedish CArdioPulmonary bioImage Study) cohort in Linköping, Sweden. Between November 2017 and July 2018, participants underwent MRI at 1.5 Tesla for quantification of liver proton density fat fraction (spectroscopy), liver fibrosis (stiffness from elastography), left ventricular (LV) structure and function, as well as myocardial native T1 mapping. We analyzed 278 circulating cardiovascular biomarkers using a Bayesian statistica lapproach.

Results: In total, 92 participants were enrolled (mean age 59.5 ± 4.6 years, 32 women). The mean liver stiffness was 2.1 ± 0.4 kPa. 53 participants displayed hepatic steatosis. LV concentricity increased across quartiles of liver stiffness. Neither liver fat nor liver stiffness displayed any relationships to myocardial tissue characteristics (native T1). In a regression analysis, liver stiffness was related to increased LV concentricity. This association was independent of diabetes and liver fat (Beta = 0.26, p = 0.0053), but was attenuated (Beta = 0.17, p = 0.077) when also adjusting for circulating levels of interleukin-1 receptor type 2.

Conclusion: MRI reveals that liver fibrosis is associated to structural LV remodeling, in terms of increased concentricity, in participants from the general population. This relationship could involve the interleukin-1 signaling.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 2024
Keywords
Interleukin-1, Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, Type 2 diabetes, Elastography, Magnetic Resonance
National Category
Radiology, Nuclear Medicine and Medical Imaging
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-203718 (URN)10.1007/s00330-024-10798-1 (DOI)001234017500001 ()38795131 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-85194375559 (Scopus ID)
Note

Funding Agencies|Swedish Research Council; Swedish Heart and Lung Foundation; ALF Grants Region OEstergoetland; Linkoeping University

Available from: 2024-05-27 Created: 2024-05-27 Last updated: 2025-04-09
Akbari, C., Dodd, M., Stål, P., Nasr, P., Ekstedt, M., Kechagias, S., . . . Shang, Y. (2024). Long-term major adverse liver outcomes in 1,260 patients with non-cirrhotic NAFLD. JHEP Reports, 6(2), Article ID 100915.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Long-term major adverse liver outcomes in 1,260 patients with non-cirrhotic NAFLD
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2024 (English)In: JHEP Reports, E-ISSN 2589-5559, Vol. 6, no 2, article id 100915Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Background & aims: Long-term studies of the prognosis of NAFLD are scarce. Here, we investigated the risk of major adverse liver outcomes (MALO) in a large cohort of patients with NAFLD.

Methods: We conducted a cohort study with data from Swedish university hospitals. Patients (n = 1,260) with NAFLD without cirrhosis were diagnosed through biopsy or radiology, and had fibrosis estimated through vibration-controlled transient elastography, biopsy, or FIB-4 score between 1974 and 2020 and followed up through 2020. Each patient was matched on age, sex, and municipality with up to 10 reference individuals from the general population (n = 12,529). MALO were ascertained from Swedish national registers. The rate of events was estimated by Cox regression.

Results: MALO occurred in 111 (8.8%, incidence rate = 5.9/1,000 person-years) patients with NAFLD and 197 (1.6%, incidence rate = 1.0/1,000 person-years) reference individuals during a median follow up of 13 years. The rate of MALO was higher in patients with NAFLD (hazard ratio = 6.6; 95% CI = 5.2-8.5). The risk of MALO was highly associated with the stage of fibrosis at diagnosis. In the biopsy subcohort (72% of total sample), there was no difference in risk between patients with and without non-alcoholic steatohepatitis. The 20-year cumulative incidences of MALO were 2% for the reference population, 3% for patients with F0, and 35% for F3. Prognostic information from biopsy was comparable to FIB-4 (C-indices around 0.73 vs. 0.72 at 10 years).

Conclusions: This study provides updated information on the natural history of NAFLD, showing a high rate of progression to cirrhosis in F3 and a similar prognostic capacity of non-invasive tests to liver biopsy.

Impact and implications: Several implications for clinical care and future research may be noted based on these results. First, the risk estimates for cirrhosis development are important when communicating risk to patients and deciding on clinical monitoring and treatment. Estimates can also be used in updated health-economic evaluations, and for regulatory agencies. Second, our results again highlight the low predictive information obtained from ascertaining NASHstatus by histology and call for more objective means by which to define NASH. Such methods may include artificial intelligence-supported digital pathology. We highlight that NASH is most likely the causal factor for fibrosis progression in NAFLD, but the subjective definition makes the prognostic value of a histological NASH diagnosis of limited value. Third, the finding that prognostic information from biopsy and the very simple Fibrosis-4 score were comparable is important as it may lead to fewer biopsies and further move the field towards non-invasive means by which to define fibrosis and, importantly, use non-invasive tests as outcomes in clinical trials. However, all modalities had modest discriminatory capacity and new risk stratification systems are needed in NAFLD. Repeated measures of non-invasive scores may be a potential solution.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2024
Keywords
FIB-4; Fibrosis stage; Major adverse liver outcomes; NAFLD; NASH; Non-invasive; Prediction
National Category
Gastroenterology and Hepatology
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-200820 (URN)10.1016/j.jhepr.2023.100915 (DOI)001164198100001 ()38293684 (PubMedID)
Funder
Åke Wiberg FoundationKarolinska InstituteSwedish Research Council
Available from: 2024-02-08 Created: 2024-02-08 Last updated: 2025-02-11
Yang, W., Ebrahimi, F., Romeo, S., Holmer, M., Vessby, J., Ekstedt, M., . . . Hagström, H. (2024). Risk of major adverse liver outcomes among first-degree relatives of individuals with MASLD. Liver international, 44(5), 1253-1264
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Risk of major adverse liver outcomes among first-degree relatives of individuals with MASLD
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2024 (English)In: Liver international, ISSN 1478-3223, E-ISSN 1478-3231, Vol. 44, no 5, p. 1253-1264Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Background & AimsPrevious studies have suggested an increased risk of major adverse liver outcomes (MALO) in relatives of patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). However, granular and longitudinal evidence is lacking on the future risk of MALO among family members of individuals with MASLD.MethodsWe identified 3526 first-degree relatives (FDRs) and 11 079 general population comparators to 1328 patients with MASLD diagnosed between 1974 and 2021, with detailed clinical data, including liver histology in 71% of patients. MALO was defined through diagnostic coding for cirrhosis or its complications. Cox regression models were used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) for MALO among FDRs compared to general population comparators. Cumulative incidence accounting for competing risks was calculated.ResultsDuring a median follow-up of 13.4 years, there were 65 (2%, 1.12/1000 person-years) and 225 (2%, 1.26/1000 person-years) MALO events in FDRs and general population comparators respectively. After adjusting for demographic factors and comorbidities, FDRs were at no increased risk of MALO (aHR = 0.99, 95% CI: 0.74-1.33). Increased relative rates of MALOs were, however, observed in some subgroups, including parents, although absolute risk estimates were low and comparable to the general population.ConclusionsFDRs of patients with MASLD did not have a higher rate of incident MALO than the general population. Since the absolute risk of MALO in relatives of patients with MASLD was low, these results do not support systematic screening of MASLD-related fibrosis in relatives of patients with MASLD.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
WILEY, 2024
Keywords
first-degree relative; genetic risk; major adverse liver outcomes; metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease
National Category
Other Clinical Medicine
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-201461 (URN)10.1111/liv.15874 (DOI)001169510000001 ()38385564 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-85186484472 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2024-03-11 Created: 2024-03-11 Last updated: 2025-03-06Bibliographically approved
Organisations
Identifiers
ORCID iD: ORCID iD iconorcid.org/0000-0002-5590-8601

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