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Publications (10 of 126) Show all publications
Lambrix, P. & Carlsson, N. (2026). Data-Driven Player Performance Metrics in Ice Hockey. In: Mehul S. Raval, Tolga Kaya, N. Sertac Artan, Christopher Taber (Ed.), Sports Data Analytics: Techniques, Applications, and Innovations (pp. 211-229). Singapore: Springer
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Data-Driven Player Performance Metrics in Ice Hockey
2026 (English)In: Sports Data Analytics: Techniques, Applications, and Innovations / [ed] Mehul S. Raval, Tolga Kaya, N. Sertac Artan, Christopher Taber, Singapore: Springer, 2026, p. 211-229Chapter in book (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Player performance evaluation is a key aspect of sports analytics. Teams need to evaluate performance on player and team level for roster management, scouting, roster analysis and strategy. When evaluating the performance of ice hockey players, team analysts work together with coaches, scouts and general managers to extract insights from game and player data that may help build a better team and game strategies. Many metrics are used to evaluate player and team performance, including traditional metrics such as goals, assists, and points and more recent metrics such as Corsi and expected goals. One weakness of most such metrics is that they do not consider the context in which the value for the metric was assigned. In this chapter, we briefly discuss state of the art in player performance metrics for ice hockey and then show two examples of approaches for defining new performance metrics that use large amounts of game event data and can take context into account.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Singapore: Springer, 2026
Series
Studies in Big Data, ISSN 2197-6503, E-ISSN 2197-6511 ; 184
Keywords
Sports Analytics, Ice hockey analytics
National Category
Computer Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-220276 (URN)10.1007/978-981-95-5132-3_11 (DOI)2-s2.0-105027015334 (Scopus ID)9789819551316 (ISBN)9789819551323 (ISBN)
Available from: 2026-01-07 Created: 2026-01-07 Last updated: 2026-06-11Bibliographically approved
Sivaraman, N., Carlsson, N. & Nadjm-Tehrani, S. (2026). JKA-HT: A Provably Secure Replay-Resilient Authentication Protocol for IoD. In: 2026 IEEE 23RD CONSUMER COMMUNICATIONS & NETWORKING CONFERENCE, CCNC: . Paper presented at IEEE 23rd Consumer Communications & Networking Conference (CCNC), Las Vegas, NV, JAN 09-12, 2026. IEEE
Open this publication in new window or tab >>JKA-HT: A Provably Secure Replay-Resilient Authentication Protocol for IoD
2026 (English)In: 2026 IEEE 23RD CONSUMER COMMUNICATIONS & NETWORKING CONFERENCE, CCNC, IEEE , 2026Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

The Internet of Drones (IoD) enables coordinated UAV communication for critical applications such as disaster response, military operations, and smart agriculture. As IoD networks scale and integrate with next-generation wireless systems (e.g., 6G), securing communication between resource-constrained drones becomes essential, particularly against replay attacks that can compromise safety and mission integrity. We present JKA-HT, a lightweight authentication and key agreement protocol offering robust, time-independent replay protection and comprehensive formal security guarantees. Building on the Julia Key Agreement (JKA), JKA-HT introduces HASHTAG, a novel cryptographic tagging mechanism that achieves replay resilience without relying on synchronized clocks or special hardware. We formally verify JKA-HT in the TAMARIN prover under the Dolev-Yao threat model, proving mutual authentication, forward/backward secrecy, Key Compromise Impersonation (KCI) resistance, and replay protection. JKA-HT is the first IoD authentication protocol to achieve all these properties with formal proofs, making it well-suited for deployment in adversarial, resource-constrained environments.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
IEEE, 2026
Series
IEEE Consumer Communications and Networking Conference, ISSN 2331-9852, E-ISSN 2331-9860
Keywords
Authentication protocol; UAV security; Formal verification
National Category
Computer Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-221078 (URN)10.1109/CCNC65079.2026.11366466 (DOI)001711522700209 ()2-s2.0-105034141678 (Scopus ID)9798331596736 (ISBN)9798331596743 (ISBN)
Conference
IEEE 23rd Consumer Communications & Networking Conference (CCNC), Las Vegas, NV, JAN 09-12, 2026
Available from: 2026-02-08 Created: 2026-02-08 Last updated: 2026-04-14
Kapoor, S., Hasselquist, D., Witwer, E., Asplund, M. & Carlsson, N. (2026). QoE Prediction of Encrypted Video Traffic forInteractive and Impatient Streaming Users. In: : . Paper presented at IFIP Networking 2026.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>QoE Prediction of Encrypted Video Traffic forInteractive and Impatient Streaming Users
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2026 (English)Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Encrypted video streaming limits network operators’ visibility into user behavior and complicates Quality of Experience (QoE) estimation. While existing QoE prediction models largely assume smooth, linear playback, real-world videoon-demand (VoD) viewing is often interactive: users frequently jump forward or backwards to skip or replay content. Such interactions invalidate buffered data, trigger bursty segment requests, and introduce non-stationary traffic patterns that violate the assumptions underlying prior models. In this paper,we present the first systematic study of QoE prediction of encrypted VoD traffic that accounts for user jumping behavior. Using controlled experiments with time-varying bandwidth and explicit jump events, we show that a state-of-the-art QoE classifier trained on smooth playback degrades sharply once jumps occur, with accuracy collapsing under frequent interaction.

We further demonstrate that jumping behavior leaves a clear fingerprint in encrypted traffic: jump and non-jump sessions are perfectly distinguishable, and interaction intensity can be inferred reliably across bandwidth regimes. Leveraging these insights, we introduce PB-QoE, a lightweight and interpretable jump-aware QoE prediction pipeline that combines continuous regression, trained on non-jumping data, with an interactiondependent penalty. Our evaluation across bandwidth conditions,jump frequencies and directions, and video categories shows that PB-QoE consistently outperforms classification- and regressiononly baselines, enabling robust QoE estimation from encrypted traffic even under highly interactive playback.

National Category
Computer Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-223774 (URN)9783903176829 (ISBN)
Conference
IFIP Networking 2026
Available from: 2026-05-11 Created: 2026-05-11 Last updated: 2026-05-19
Mohammadinodooshan, A. & Carlsson, N. (2026). Sentiment-Driven Differential Engagement: Hyperpartisan Vs. Non-hyperpartisan Users on X. In: Aijun An, Alfredo Cuzzocrea, and Hongxin Hu (Ed.), Social Networks Analysis and Mining: 17th International Conference, ASONAM 2025, Niagara Falls, ON, Canada, August 25–28, 2025, Proceedings, Part II. Paper presented at 17th International Conference, ASONAM 2025, Niagara Falls, ON, Canada, August 25–28, 2025 (pp. 101-118). Cham, Switzerland: Springer Nature, 16323, Article ID 10.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Sentiment-Driven Differential Engagement: Hyperpartisan Vs. Non-hyperpartisan Users on X
2026 (English)In: Social Networks Analysis and Mining: 17th International Conference, ASONAM 2025, Niagara Falls, ON, Canada, August 25–28, 2025, Proceedings, Part II / [ed] Aijun An, Alfredo Cuzzocrea, and Hongxin Hu, Cham, Switzerland: Springer Nature , 2026, Vol. 16323, p. 101-118, article id 10Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Hyperpartisan news sources increasingly shape online discourse, raising urgent concerns about polarization and misinformation. This paper presents the first large-scale differential study of sentiment-driven engagement with hyperpartisan and non-hyperpartisan news on X (formerly Twitter). Analyzing 5.8 million news tweets that attracted 78.6 billion views (impressions) and 466 million interactions, we normalize interactions by view count to isolate user responsiveness, advancing beyond prior work that did not account for differences in exposure. Recognizing that the X algorithm tends to expose hyperpartisan users to hyperpartisan content more frequently, we provide insights into both what sentiments may make some publishers more successful and, more importantly, what effect those different sentiments have on these users’ engagement patterns at a large scale. Our findings show that hyperpartisan users exhibit greater sensitivity to negative content, a pattern robust to controls for topic, content prominence, and temporal variations, and consistent across left- and right-leaning hyperpartisan groups, despite subtle differences. Moreover, our analysis shows that the impact of sentiment on engagement is moderated by the depth of user cognition, varying across different interaction types such as likes, retweets, replies, and quotes. Our findings offer statistically grounded and actionable insights for content creators, recommender-system designers, and policymakers seeking to understand and curb the amplification of hyperpartisan content.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Cham, Switzerland: Springer Nature, 2026
Series
Lecture Notes in Computer Science (LNCS, volume 16323), ISSN 0302-9743, E-ISSN 1611-3349
Keywords
Hyperpartisanship, Sentiment‑driven engagement, User interaction, Differential exposure, Social media engagement, Political polarization
National Category
Computer Systems
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-223767 (URN)10.1007/978-3-032-13821-7_10 (DOI)001752227300010 ()2-s2.0-105029887148 (Scopus ID)9783032138200 (ISBN)9783032138217 (ISBN)
Conference
17th International Conference, ASONAM 2025, Niagara Falls, ON, Canada, August 25–28, 2025
Funder
Wallenberg AI, Autonomous Systems and Software Program (WASP)
Available from: 2026-05-11 Created: 2026-05-11 Last updated: 2026-05-26
Kapoor, S., Witwer, E., Hasselquist, D., Asplund, M. & Carlsson, N. (2025). Predicting Video QoE from Encrypted Traffic: Leveraging Video Fingerprinting and Providing System-Level Insights. In: : . Paper presented at IFIP Networking.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Predicting Video QoE from Encrypted Traffic: Leveraging Video Fingerprinting and Providing System-Level Insights
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2025 (English)Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
National Category
Computer Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-223773 (URN)9783903176720 (ISBN)
Conference
IFIP Networking
Available from: 2026-05-11 Created: 2026-05-11 Last updated: 2026-05-21
Mohammadinodooshan, A. & Carlsson, N. (2025). Successful Rhetorics: How Do Linguistic Dimensions Affect User Engagement with Different News Categories on Twitter?. In: Jisun An, Yu-Ru Lin, Yelena Mejova, Eni Mustafaraj, Juhi Kulshrestha, Ingmar Weber (Ed.), Proceedings of the Nineteenth International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media: . Paper presented at The Nineteenth International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media (ICWSM 2025) (pp. 1246-1261). Washington, DC, USA, 19
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Successful Rhetorics: How Do Linguistic Dimensions Affect User Engagement with Different News Categories on Twitter?
2025 (English)In: Proceedings of the Nineteenth International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media / [ed] Jisun An, Yu-Ru Lin, Yelena Mejova, Eni Mustafaraj, Juhi Kulshrestha, Ingmar Weber, Washington, DC, USA, 2025, Vol. 19, p. 1246-1261Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

This paper analyzes how different rhetorical attributes in news tweets, specifically analytical, clout, perceptual, and risk language, influence user engagement across publishers with different bias and reliability ratings. Using the LIWC framework to quantify these linguistic dimensions in a 5.5million tweets dataset covering 1,553 news publishers and capturing over 480 million tweet interactions, we perform and present a category-based analysis that captures the relative impact that such features have on the user engagement rates associated with different political bias and reliability categories. While highly biased and unreliable publishers saw increased engagement for clout and risk language, confirming audience biases, the least biased ones benefited more from analytical language. Perception language, on the other hand, uniformly reduced engagement. These insights not only further our understanding of persuasion tactics but also have implications for curbing misinformation by aligning recommendations with audience veracity and impartiality preferences.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Washington, DC, USA: , 2025
Series
Proceedings of the International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media, ISSN 3067-1515
Keywords
Social media engagement, Linguistic analysis, Political bias, News credibility, Rhetorical strategies
National Category
Media and Communication Studies
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-219041 (URN)10.1609/icwsm.v19i1.35871 (DOI)001835476900072 ()1577359003 (ISBN)9781577359005 (ISBN)
Conference
The Nineteenth International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media (ICWSM 2025)
Funder
Wallenberg AI, Autonomous Systems and Software Program (WASP)
Available from: 2025-10-26 Created: 2025-10-26 Last updated: 2026-09-30
Säfvenberg, R., Nordgaard, A., Lidmark Eriksson, O., Carlsson, N. & Lambrix, P. (2024). Age of Peak Performance Among Soccer Players in Sweden. In: Jin Song Dong, Masoumeh Izadi, Zhe Hou (Ed.), Sports Analytics, First International Conference ISACE 2024: . Paper presented at The First International Sports Analytics Conference and Exhibition (ISACE 2024), July 12-13, 2024, Paris, France. (pp. 278-290). Cham: Springer Nature Switzerland, 14794
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Age of Peak Performance Among Soccer Players in Sweden
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2024 (English)In: Sports Analytics, First International Conference ISACE 2024 / [ed] Jin Song Dong, Masoumeh Izadi, Zhe Hou, Cham: Springer Nature Switzerland , 2024, Vol. 14794, p. 278-290Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Performance and age have an intertwined relationship in soccer. However, despite the sport’s popularity and the great value of insight into this topic to decision-making personnel, this is a fairly unexplored topic, particularly for lower-ranked leagues. In this paper, we use a novel performance metric to investigate the peak age among soccer players in Sweden for goalkeepers, defenders, midfielders, and forwards. Each playing position is analyzed separately using univariate and bivariate methods and is also modeled by a hierarchical Bayesian model with player-specific age trajectories.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Cham: Springer Nature Switzerland, 2024
Series
Lecture Notes in Computer Science, ISSN 0302-9743, E-ISSN 1611-3349 ; 14794
National Category
Computer Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-207817 (URN)10.1007/978-3-031-69073-0_24 (DOI)001340400500024 ()9783031690723 (ISBN)9783031690730 (ISBN)
Conference
The First International Sports Analytics Conference and Exhibition (ISACE 2024), July 12-13, 2024, Paris, France.
Available from: 2024-09-25 Created: 2024-09-25 Last updated: 2024-12-04Bibliographically approved
Döberl, M., Freiherr von Wangenheim, Y., Bruhner, C. M., Hasselquist, D., Arlitt, M. & Carlsson, N. (2024). Chain-Sawing: A Longitudinal Analysis of Certificate Chains. In: Proc. IFIP Networking 2024: . Paper presented at 23rd International-Federation-for-Information-Processing (IFIP) Networking Conference (IFIP Networking), Thessaloniki, GREECE, jun 03-06, 2024 (pp. 122-130). IEEE
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Chain-Sawing: A Longitudinal Analysis of Certificate Chains
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2024 (English)In: Proc. IFIP Networking 2024, IEEE , 2024, p. 122-130Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

The security and integrity of TLS certificates are essential for ensuring secure transmission over the Internet and protecting millions of people from man-in-the-middle attacks. Certificate Authorities (CAs) play a crucial role in issuing and managing these certificates. This paper presents a longitudinal analysis of certificate chains for popular domains, examining their evolution over time and across different categories. Using publicly available certificate data, primarily from crt.sh, we created a longitudinal dataset of certificate chains for domains from the Tranco top-1M list. After categorizing the certificates based on their type and service category, we analyze a selected set of domains over time and identify the patterns and trends that emerge in their certificate chains. Our analysis reveals several noteworthy trends, including a trend towards shorter certificate chains and fewer paths from domains to root certificates. This implies that the certificate process is becoming more simplified and streamlined. Combined with our observations that there is an increasing use of new CAs and a shift in the types of certificates used that we observe, we expect part of this to be an effect of individual choices made by some popular CAs (e.g., less cross-signings). In general, the observed trends, patterns, and findings capture tradeoffs in overhead, backward compatibility, and security. The quick shifts in some of the observed metrics (e.g., chain lengths) therefore also highlight the importance of continued monitoring and analysis of certificate chains.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
IEEE, 2024
Series
IFIP Networking Conference, E-ISSN 1861-2288
National Category
Computer Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-208860 (URN)10.23919/IFIPNetworking62109.2024.10619717 (DOI)001303907400018 ()2-s2.0-85202431612 (Scopus ID)9783903176638 (ISBN)9798350390605 (ISBN)
Conference
23rd International-Federation-for-Information-Processing (IFIP) Networking Conference (IFIP Networking), Thessaloniki, GREECE, jun 03-06, 2024
Funder
Wallenberg AI, Autonomous Systems and Software Program (WASP)
Available from: 2024-10-27 Created: 2024-10-27 Last updated: 2025-09-01
Olivestam, A., Rosendahl, A., Wilderoth, E., Carlsson, N. & Lambrix, P. (2024). Characterizing Playing Styles for Ice Hockey Players. In: Tim Brecht, Niklas Carlsson, Mikael Vernblom, Patrick Lambrix (Ed.), Proceedings of the Linköping Hockey Analytics Conference LINHAC 2024 Research Track: . Paper presented at Linköping Hockey Analytics Conference LINHAC 2024 (pp. 39-50). Linköping University Electronic Press
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Characterizing Playing Styles for Ice Hockey Players
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2024 (English)In: Proceedings of the Linköping Hockey Analytics Conference LINHAC 2024 Research Track / [ed] Tim Brecht, Niklas Carlsson, Mikael Vernblom, Patrick Lambrix, Linköping University Electronic Press, 2024, p. 39-50Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Although analytics is being used in, e.g., the evaluation of players and scouting, it is still challenging to quantify skills and playing styles of players. Such information is important for roster creation and scouting, where teams want to find players that have a playing style that fits within the team, as well as for game preparation to understand the playing style of opponents. In this paper we use player vectors to characterize a player’s playing style. The player vectors contain representations of skills that are computed from game event data. Further, we use fuzzy clustering on the vectors to generate five types of defender playing styles and five types of forward playing styles. For these types, we show the typical skill levels and players with similar styles.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Linköping University Electronic Press, 2024
Series
Linköping Electronic Conference Proceedings, ISSN 1650-3686, E-ISSN 1650-3740 ; 209
Keywords
Sports Analytics, Ice hockey analytics
National Category
Computer Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-205942 (URN)10.3384/ecp209004 (DOI)
Conference
Linköping Hockey Analytics Conference LINHAC 2024
Available from: 2024-07-12 Created: 2024-07-12 Last updated: 2024-09-20Bibliographically approved
Säfvenberg, R., Carlsson, N. & Lambrix, P. (2024). Identifying Player Roles in Ice Hockey. In: Ulf Brefeld, Jesse Davis, Jan Van Haaren, Albrecht Zimmermann (Ed.), Machine Learning and Data Mining for Sports Analytics: 10th International Workshop, MLSA 2023, Turin, Italy, September 18, 2023, Revised Selected Papers. Paper presented at 10th Workshop on Machine Learning and Data Mining for Sports Analytics (pp. 131-143). Springer Nature Switzerland
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Identifying Player Roles in Ice Hockey
2024 (English)In: Machine Learning and Data Mining for Sports Analytics: 10th International Workshop, MLSA 2023, Turin, Italy, September 18, 2023, Revised Selected Papers / [ed] Ulf Brefeld, Jesse Davis, Jan Van Haaren, Albrecht Zimmermann, Springer Nature Switzerland , 2024, p. 131-143Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Understanding the role of a particular player, or set of players, in a team is an important tool for players, scouts, and managers, as it can improve training, game adjustments and team construction. In this paper, we propose a probabilistic method for quantifying player roles in ice hockey that allows for a player to belong to different roles with some probability. Using data from the 2021–2022 NHL season, we analyze and group players into clusters. We show the use of the clusters by an examination of the relationship between player role and contract, as well as between role distribution in a team and team success in terms of reaching the playoffs.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Nature Switzerland, 2024
Series
Communications in Computer and Information Science, ISSN 1865-0929, E-ISSN 1865-0937 ; 2035
Keywords
sports analytics, ice hockey
National Category
Computer Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-201162 (URN)10.1007/978-3-031-53833-9_11 (DOI)001264432400011 ()9783031538322 (ISBN)9783031538339 (ISBN)
Conference
10th Workshop on Machine Learning and Data Mining for Sports Analytics
Available from: 2024-02-25 Created: 2024-02-25 Last updated: 2024-09-09Bibliographically approved
Organisations
Identifiers
ORCID iD: ORCID iD iconorcid.org/0000-0003-1367-1594

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