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The nexus between geopolitical uncertainty and crude oil markets: An entropy-based wavelet analysis
Linköpings universitet, Institutionen för ekonomisk och industriell utveckling, Nationalekonomi. Linköpings universitet, Filosofiska fakulteten.
European University Institute, Florence, Italy; IPAG Business School, Paris, France.
Linköpings universitet, Institutionen för ekonomisk och industriell utveckling, Nationalekonomi. Linköpings universitet, Filosofiska fakulteten.ORCID-id: 0000-0002-1798-8284
2018 (engelsk)Inngår i: Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, ISSN 0378-4371, Vol. 495, nr April, s. 30-39Artikkel i tidsskrift (Fagfellevurdert) Published
Abstract [en]

The global financial crisis and the subsequent geopolitical turbulence in energy markets have brought increased attention to the proper statistical modeling especially of the crude oil markets. In particular, we utilize a time–frequency decomposition approach based on wavelet analysis to explore the inherent dynamics and the casual interrelationships between various types of geopolitical, economic and financial uncertainty indices and oil markets. Via the introduction of a mixed discrete-continuous multiresolution analysis, we employ the entropic criterion for the selection of the optimal decomposition level of a MODWT as well as the continuous-time coherency and phase measures for the detection of business cycle (a)synchronization. Overall, a strong heterogeneity in the revealed interrelationships is detected over time and across scales.

sted, utgiver, år, opplag, sider
Elsevier, 2018. Vol. 495, nr April, s. 30-39
Emneord [en]
Uncertainty measurement; Energy markets; Multiscale analysis; Phase difference; Entropy
HSV kategori
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-144174DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2017.12.025ISI: 000424958600003OAI: oai:DiVA.org:liu-144174DiVA, id: diva2:1171651
Tilgjengelig fra: 2018-01-08 Laget: 2018-01-08 Sist oppdatert: 2018-04-03bibliografisk kontrollert

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