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The role of underground storage in the dynamics of the US natural gas market: A threshold model analysis
SGH Warsaw Sch Econ, Poland.
Linköpings universitet, Institutionen för ekonomisk och industriell utveckling, Nationalekonomi. Linköpings universitet, Filosofiska fakulteten.
2020 (engelsk)Inngår i: Energy Economics, ISSN 0140-9883, E-ISSN 1873-6181, Vol. 87, artikkel-id UNSP 104713Artikkel i tidsskrift (Fagfellevurdert) Published
Abstract [en]

Natural gas is an important source of energy in the global economy, hence understanding the drivers of its prices is of significant interest for the many economic agents. This paper investigates the role of inventories for the dynamics of the U.S. natural gas market. Our contribution is twofold. First, within the threshold structural VAR framework we demonstrate that in a low inventory regime spot prices are more responsive to economic fundamentals in comparison to situation in which the inventories are high. Second, we present evidence that the level of natural gas inventories have a significant effect on the relationship between spot and futures prices. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

sted, utgiver, år, opplag, sider
ELSEVIER , 2020. Vol. 87, artikkel-id UNSP 104713
Emneord [en]
Natural gas market; Structural VAR; Threshold models; Futures market
HSV kategori
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-166511DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2020.104713ISI: 000536091600024OAI: oai:DiVA.org:liu-166511DiVA, id: diva2:1443345
Merknad

Funding Agencies|National Science Centre [2017/25/B/HS4/00156]; Jan Wallander and Tom Hedelius Foundations [W2016:0364:1]

Tilgjengelig fra: 2020-06-18 Laget: 2020-06-18 Sist oppdatert: 2020-06-18

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