liu.seSearch for publications in DiVA
Endre søk
RefereraExporteraLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Referera
Referensformat
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • oxford
  • Annet format
Fler format
Språk
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Annet språk
Fler språk
Utmatningsformat
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Predicting how US public opinion on moral issues will change from 2018 to 2020 and beyond
Institute for Futures Studies, Box 591, 101 31 Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID-id: 0000-0002-9750-5835
Institute for Futures Studies, Box 591, 101 31 Stockholm, Sweden.
Institute for Futures Studies, Box 591, 101 31 Stockholm, Sweden;School of Education, Culture and Communication, Mälardalen University, Box 883, 721 23 Västerås, Sweden.
2022 (engelsk)Inngår i: Royal Society Open Science, E-ISSN 2054-5703, Vol. 9, nr 4Artikkel i tidsskrift (Fagfellevurdert) Published
Abstract [en]

The General Social Survey, conducted every 2 years, measures public opinion on a wide range of moral issues. The data from the 2020 survey are expected to be released in mid-October 2021. In advance of this data release, we make predictions for how public opinion will have shifted since 2018. We also predict further public opinion shifts for the coming decade up until the year 2030. These predictions are based on the theory that an opinion will become more popular over time if it holds an argument advantage, that is, if it is better justified by generally accepted kinds of arguments than the opposite opinion is. While this theory has successfully accounted for historical opinion trends, this is the first time it is used to predict future shifts. To assess the accuracy of our forecast we will compare it with the benchmark forecast that predicts the same public opinion in 2020 as in 2018.

sted, utgiver, år, opplag, sider
2022. Vol. 9, nr 4
Emneord [en]
public opinion change, moral foundation, predictions, general social survey, moral argumement theory
HSV kategori
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-203808DOI: 10.1098/rsos.211068ISI: 000788434100010Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85128735210OAI: oai:DiVA.org:liu-203808DiVA, id: diva2:1861094
Forskningsfinansiär
Knut and Alice Wallenberg Foundation, 2017.0257Swedish Research Council, 2019-02759Tilgjengelig fra: 2024-05-27 Laget: 2024-05-27 Sist oppdatert: 2026-01-29

Open Access i DiVA

Fulltekst mangler i DiVA

Andre lenker

Forlagets fulltekstScopus

Søk i DiVA

Av forfatter/redaktør
Strimling, Pontus
I samme tidsskrift
Royal Society Open Science

Søk utenfor DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar

doi
urn-nbn

Altmetric

doi
urn-nbn
Totalt: 37 treff
RefereraExporteraLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Referera
Referensformat
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • oxford
  • Annet format
Fler format
Språk
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Annet språk
Fler språk
Utmatningsformat
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf