liu.seSök publikationer i DiVA
Ändra sökning
RefereraExporteraLänk till posten
Permanent länk

Direktlänk
Referera
Referensformat
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • oxford
  • Annat format
Fler format
Språk
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Annat språk
Fler språk
Utmatningsformat
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Forecasting the volatility of biofuel feedstock prices: the US evidence
Univ Vaasa, Finland.
Univ Jyvaskyla, Finland.
Linköpings universitet, Institutionen för ekonomisk och industriell utveckling, Nationalekonomi. Linköpings universitet, Filosofiska fakulteten.
2019 (Engelska)Ingår i: Biofuels, Bioproducts and Biorefining, ISSN 1932-104X, E-ISSN 1932-1031, Vol. 13, nr 4, s. 912-919Artikel i tidskrift (Refereegranskat) Published
Abstract [en]

Given that, nowadays, 40% of the US corn crop is used for biofuel production, there is a growing concern that the rise in biofuel production might lead to an increase in food prices. However, it is also obvious that significant growth in biofuel use has minimized the demand for fossil fuel and has hence reduced the volume of carbon emissions. It is therefore crucial to model corn market volatility precisely because such an estimate could play a vital role in stabilizing food and biofuel market prices. For this purpose, we consider using the information content of the corn implied volatility (CIV) index to predict the corn futures market return volatility. Using symmetric and asymmetric GARCH-class models, we find that the CIV index provides additional information beyond what is contained in the historical volatility of the corn market returns, and the information provided by the CIV index improves volatility forecasts for the US corn market. These findings could be extremely useful for energy market participants. (c) 2019 Society of Chemical Industry and John Wiley amp; Sons, Ltd

Ort, förlag, år, upplaga, sidor
WILEY , 2019. Vol. 13, nr 4, s. 912-919
Nyckelord [en]
bioenergy crop; corn VIX; biofuel; GARCH models; volatility forecast; CIV index
Nationell ämneskategori
Energisystem
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-159592DOI: 10.1002/bbb.1981ISI: 000476550800008OAI: oai:DiVA.org:liu-159592DiVA, id: diva2:1342287
Anmärkning

Funding Agencies|Jan Wallander and Tom Hedelius Foundations

Tillgänglig från: 2019-08-13 Skapad: 2019-08-13 Senast uppdaterad: 2019-08-13

Open Access i DiVA

Fulltext saknas i DiVA

Övriga länkar

Förlagets fulltext

Sök vidare i DiVA

Av författaren/redaktören
Uddin, Gazi Salah
Av organisationen
NationalekonomiFilosofiska fakulteten
I samma tidskrift
Biofuels, Bioproducts and Biorefining
Energisystem

Sök vidare utanför DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar

doi
urn-nbn

Altmetricpoäng

doi
urn-nbn
Totalt: 133 träffar
RefereraExporteraLänk till posten
Permanent länk

Direktlänk
Referera
Referensformat
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • oxford
  • Annat format
Fler format
Språk
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Annat språk
Fler språk
Utmatningsformat
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf