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Two is Better Than One: Regularized Shrinkage of Large Minimum Variance Portfolios
Linköpings universitet, Institutionen för ekonomisk och industriell utveckling, Produktionsekonomi. Linköpings universitet, Tekniska fakulteten.
Delft Univ Technol, Netherlands.
Stockholm Univ, Sweden.
2024 (Engelska)Ingår i: Journal of machine learning research, ISSN 1532-4435, E-ISSN 1533-7928, Vol. 25, artikel-id 173Artikel i tidskrift (Refereegranskat) Published
Abstract [en]

In this paper, we construct a shrinkage estimator of the global minimum variance (GMV) portfolio by combining two techniques: Tikhonov regularization and direct shrinkage of portfolio weights. More specifically, we employ a double shrinkage approach, where the covariance matrix and portfolio weights are shrunk simultaneously. The ridge parameter controls the stability of the covariance matrix, while the portfolio shrinkage intensity shrinks the regularized portfolio weights to a predefined target. Both parameters simultaneously minimize, with probability one, the out-of-sample variance as the number of assets p and the sample size n tend to infinity, while their ratio p/n tends to a constant c > 0. This method can also be seen as the optimal combination of the well-established linear shrinkage approach of Ledoit and Wolf (2004) and the shrinkage of the portfolio weights by Bodnar et al. (2018). No specific distribution is assumed for the asset returns, except for the assumption of finite moments of order 4 + epsilon for epsilon > 0. The performance of the double shrinkage estimator is investigated via extensive simulation and empirical studies. The suggested method significantly outperforms its predecessor (without regularization) and the nonlinear shrinkage approach in terms of the out-of-sample variance, Sharpe ratio, and other empirical measures in the majority of scenarios. Moreover, it maintains the most stable portfolio weights with uniformly smallest turnover.

Ort, förlag, år, upplaga, sidor
MICROTOME PUBL , 2024. Vol. 25, artikel-id 173
Nyckelord [en]
shrinkage estimator; high dimensional covariance matrix; random matrix; theory; minimum variance portfolio; parameter uncertainty; ridge regularization
Nationell ämneskategori
Sannolikhetsteori och statistik
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-206940ISI: 001274950600001OAI: oai:DiVA.org:liu-206940DiVA, id: diva2:1892542
Tillgänglig från: 2024-08-27 Skapad: 2024-08-27 Senast uppdaterad: 2024-12-04

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