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Efficient particle-based online smoothing in general hidden Markov models: The PaRIS algorithm
KTH, Matematisk statistik, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0772-846X
KTH, Matematisk statistik.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9565-7686
2017 (English)In: Bernoulli, ISSN 1350-7265, E-ISSN 1573-9759, Vol. 23, no 3, p. 1951-1996Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

This paper presents a novel algorithm, the particle-based, rapid incremental smoother (PaRIS), for efficient online approximation of smoothed expectations of additive state functionals in general hidden Markov models. The algorithm, which has a linear computational complexity under weak assumptions and very limited memory requirements, is furnished with a number of convergence results, including a central limit theorem. An interesting feature of PaRIS, which samples on-the-fly from the retrospective dynamics induced by the particle filter, is that it requires two or more backward draws per particle in order to cope with degeneracy of the sampled trajectories and to stay numerically stable in the long run with an asymptotic variance that grows only linearly with time.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
INT STATISTICAL INST , 2017. Vol. 23, no 3, p. 1951-1996
Keywords [en]
central limit theorem, general hidden Markov models, Hoeffding-type inequality, online estimation, particle filter, particle path degeneracy, sequential Monte Carlo, smoothing
National Category
Mathematics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-188873DOI: 10.3150/16-BEJ801ISI: 000398013100017Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85016201786OAI: oai:DiVA.org:liu-188873DiVA, id: diva2:1699892
Note

QC 20170517

Available from: 2017-05-17 Created: 2022-09-29

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Olsson, JimmyWesterborn, Johan

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