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Maternal Transfer and Long-Term Population Effects of PCBs in Baltic Grey Seals Using a New Toxicokinetic–Toxicodynamic Population Model
Division of Biology and Bioinformatics, University of Skövde.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0097-1379
Department of Environmental Studies and Sciences, University of Winnipeg, Winnipeg, MB, Canada.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-6816-7697
Department of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Gothenburg.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-1527-0903
2022 (English)In: Archives of Environmental Contamination and Toxicology, ISSN 0090-4341, E-ISSN 1432-0703, Vol. 83, no 4, p. 376-394Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Empirical evidence has shown that historical exposure of polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs) to Baltic grey seals not only severely affected individual fitness, but also population growth rates and most likely caused the retarded recovery rate of the depleted population for decades. We constructed a new model which we term a toxicokinetic–toxicodynamic (TKTD) population model to quantify these effects. The toxicokinetic sub-model describes in detail the bioaccumulation, elimination and vertical transfer from mother to offspring of PCBs and is linked to a toxicodynamic model for estimation of PCB-related damage, hazard and stress impacts on fertility and survival rates. Both sub-models were linked to a Leslie matrix population model to calculate changes in population growth rate and age structure, given different rates of PCB exposure. Toxicodynamic model parameters related to reproductive organ lesions were calibrated using published historical data on observed pregnancy rates in Baltic grey seal females. Compared to empirical data, the TKTD population model described well the age-specific bioaccumulation pattern of PCBs in Baltic grey seals, and thus, the toxicokinetic parameters, deduced from the literature, are believed to be reliable. The model also captured well the general effects of PCBs on historical population growth rates. The model showed that reduced fertility due to increased PCB exposure causes decreased vertical transfer from mother to offspring and in turn increased biomagnification in non-breeding females. The developed TKTD model can be used to perform population viability analyses of Baltic grey seals with multiple stressors, also including by-catches and different hunting regimes. The model can also be extended to other marine mammals and other contaminants by adjustments of model parameters and thus provides a test bed in silico for new substances.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2022. Vol. 83, no 4, p. 376-394
National Category
Ecology
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-207619DOI: 10.1007/s00244-022-00962-3OAI: oai:DiVA.org:liu-207619DiVA, id: diva2:1897876
Note

Open access funding provided by University of Skövde. Funding was provided by Viltforskningsanslaget, Swedish Environmental Protection Agency (2021-00028) and the BONUS program BaltHealth (Art. 185). Mauritsson was partially supported by the Swedish research council, grant/award number 2018-05523.

Available from: 2024-09-16 Created: 2024-09-16 Last updated: 2024-09-16Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Application of Metabolic Theory in Models for Growth of Individuals and Populations
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Application of Metabolic Theory in Models for Growth of Individuals and Populations
2024 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Metabolic theories in ecology interpret ecological patterns at different levels (individuals, populations, communities) through the lens of metabolism, often applying allometric scaling with rates of energy use described as power functions of body mass. However, the application of metabolic theory at higher levels requires a sound theory for metabolism at the individual level.

In this thesis, metabolic theory has been developed and applied in three different contexts; 1) growth of individual organisms under food limitation, 2) life-history theory for age and size at maturity for individual organisms, and 3) population growth of marine mammals exposed to bioaccumulative toxicants through their diet.

In the first context, a new mechanistic model for individual growth was developed, based on an energy balance that expresses growth as the net result of energy assimilation from food and various metabolic costs. The model can account for effects of body composition and cellular-level growth patterns, but foremost it considers a potential trade-off between regulated maintenance and growth under food limitation. The model was successfully calibrated and validated against empirical data for an insect (house cricket) under both unlimited and limited food conditions. Interestingly, the empirical calibration indicated that the energy per unit body mass that an organism allocates to maintenance of body structures may increase as the organism grows and may also be upregulated under food limitation.

In Paper I, the maintenance-growth model (MGM), is presented, derived and demonstrated via numerical simulations and comparisons with available growth data. In Paper II and III, MGM is calibrated and evaluated against collected data for house crickets growing under unlimited and restricted food supply, respectively.

In the second context (Paper IV), it was investigated how models for individual growth and mortality can be combined with life-history theory to model plastic responses in age and size at maturity under varying resource conditions. The new growth model (MGM) was implemented to account for the trade-off between somatic maintenance and growth. It was also investigated how life-history models that predict the occurrence of maturity are affected by the presence of an overhead threshold, a minimum size that organisms must reach in order to mature and exceed in order to reproduce. It was found that the existence of an overhead threshold, that previously has been considered to be a crucial assumption for predicting realistic reaction norms for age and size at maturity, may not be crucial after all.

In the final context (Paper V), a model was developed for bioaccumulation of toxicants and their effects on survival rates, fertilities, age structure and population growth in marine mammals. Allometric scaling of biological rates were applied in the parametrisation of the model. The model was successfully calibrated and validated against empirical data for Baltic grey seals affected by PCB. The model could demonstrate that decreased female fertility (caused by a toxicant) may considerably increase bioaccumulation of the toxicant due to decreased offload from females to offspring.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Linköping: Linköping University Electronic Press, 2024. p. 68
Series
Linköping Studies in Science and Technology. Dissertations, ISSN 0345-7524 ; 2400
Keywords
Metabolism, Metabolic rate, Allometric scaling, Somatic maintenance, Ontogenetic growth, Growth model, Food restriction, Insects, Life-history traits, Age at maturity, Size at maturity, Bioaccumulation, Toxicokinetics, Toxicodynamics, Population dynamics, Marine mammals
National Category
Ecology
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-207620 (URN)10.3384/9789180757379 (DOI)9789180757362 (ISBN)9789180757379 (ISBN)
Public defence
2024-10-11, G110, G Building, University of Skövde, Skövde, 09:15 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Note

Funding agencies: The Swedish research council, grant number 2018-05523, Viltforskningsanslaget, Swedish Environmental Protection Agency, and the BONUS program BaltHealth (Art. 185).

2024-09-16: The thesis was first published online. The online published version reflects the printed version.

2024-09-30: The thesis was updated with an errata list which is also downloadable from the DOI landing page. Before this date the PDF has been downloaded 37 times.

Available from: 2024-09-16 Created: 2024-09-16 Last updated: 2024-09-30Bibliographically approved

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Publisher's full texthttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00244-022-00962-3

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Mauritsson, Karl

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