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Wildfire Management as a System of Systems: Systems Engineering Considerations Using Agent-Based Simulation and Large Language Models
Linköping University, Department of Management and Engineering, Fluid and Mechatronic Systems. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2322-2402
2024 (English)Licentiate thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Wildfires are extremely difficult to manage and control. If they grow out of control, they are capable of destroying countless resources and entire populations. Over the years, resources and tactics have been focused on improving reactive capabilities. However, adopting a proactive approach can reduce reaction time and the necessary resources when action is needed for suppressing a fire. Both the proactive and reactive phases of wildfire management involve numerous systems that need to communicate and collaborate. When a collection of systems is working together towards a goal, it is beneficial to see them as a System of Systems. This thesis takes a System of Systems approach to wildfire management and examines modelling and simulation considerations, with special interest in methods that can be used to obtain a refined set of system requirements. More specifically, aircraft requirements for the concept generation of firefighting aerial vehicles. Additionally, the thesis considers stakeholders’ needs and the consequent viewpoints reflecting their interests and concerns, which are necessary for developing high-level operational concepts. These topics are often overlooked, yet necessary to keep communities engaged and to develop measures of effectiveness and performance that capture the value of different System of Systems combinations. All these considerations are intended to contribute to the improvement of holistic requirement generation for product development. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Linköping: Linköping University Electronic Press, 2024. , p. 52
Series
Linköping Studies in Science and Technology. Licentiate Thesis, ISSN 0280-7971 ; 2010
National Category
Embedded Systems
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-210509DOI: 10.3384/9789180759281ISBN: 9789180759274 (print)ISBN: 9789180759281 (electronic)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:liu-210509DiVA, id: diva2:1921869
Presentation
2025-02-14, A35, 10:15 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Funder
VinnovaSwedish Defence Materiel AdministrationEU, Horizon 2020, COLOSSUSAvailable from: 2024-12-17 Created: 2024-12-17 Last updated: 2025-01-17Bibliographically approved
List of papers
1. Environmental Agent-Based Modelling For A Firefighting System Of Systems
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Environmental Agent-Based Modelling For A Firefighting System Of Systems
2022 (English)In: 33rd Congress of the International Council of the Aeronautical Sciences, 2022Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

In the field of System-of-Systems (SoS) engineering, the study of interactions between complex systems froma holistic point of view is important for finding emerging behaviours. To observe as many behaviours aspossible, especially when field testing is not a viable option, simulations play an important role in design spaceexploration and formulation for the Firefighting SoS framework. The presented work describes an AgentBased Model (ABM) approach for simulation of wildfire spread and its detection using collaborating vehicles:Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs), or partly autonomous air- and land-based vehicles. Implemented in theopen-source software NetLogo, the usage of its Geographic Information System (GIS) extension allows tosimulate scenarios at specific locations. This ABM will be used in the future for Agent-Based Simulations(ABS) for the study of an SoS framework oriented to firefighting, including design and optimization of the SoS,constituent systems and their subsystems.

Keywords
Systems of Systems, Agent-Based Simulation, Aerospace Systems, Cyber-Physical Modelling, Wildfire Detection
National Category
Aerospace Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-192091 (URN)
Conference
ICAS2022, Stockholm, Sweden, 4-9 September, 2022.
Available from: 2023-03-01 Created: 2023-03-01 Last updated: 2024-12-17Bibliographically approved
2. Agent-Based Simulation and Ontology Integration for System-of-System Exploration
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Agent-Based Simulation and Ontology Integration for System-of-System Exploration
2023 (English)In: Proceedings of IDEAS 2022: Interdisciplinary Conference on Innovation, Design, Entrepreneurship, and Sustainable Systems / [ed] Luciana Pereira, Petter Krus, Magnus Klofsten, Springer, 2023, p. 13-23Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

The increasing interest in System-of-Systems (SoS) for engineering applications are introducing new challenges that must be overcome at an early design stage. One of these is the integration of different tools that can be used to make predictions about a system under development and how these together can be used to predict SoS performances by comparison of parameter spaces.The purpose of this paper is therefore to illustrate how different SoS architectures can be modeled, simulated, and evaluated throughout different scenarios by different teams of researchers following a common workflow.An ontology is used as an overarching knowledge base where information about entities, such as scenario details, can be extracted and used for the setup of Agentbased Simulations(ABS) through a tool integration software acting as master that controls the correct execution of the defined workflow.The tool integration software also enables additional modelling capabilities, such as a Design of Experiments (DOE) definition for design space explorations, an Optimizer with different algorithms, user-defined Python scripts, etc. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer, 2023
Series
Design Science and Innovation, ISSN 2509-5986, E-ISSN 2509-5994
National Category
Aerospace Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-192101 (URN)10.1007/978-3-031-29129-6_2 (DOI)9783031291289 (ISBN)9783031291296 (ISBN)
Conference
IDEAS2022, Sao Paulo, Brazil, 28-30 November, 2022
Available from: 2023-03-02 Created: 2023-03-02 Last updated: 2024-12-17
3. Traceable System of Systems Explorations Using RCE Workflows
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Traceable System of Systems Explorations Using RCE Workflows
2023 (English)Conference paper, Oral presentation with published abstract (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

The System of Systems (SoS) framework plays a pivotal role in delimiting aircraft design spaces by examininginteractions among its Constituent Systems (CS). Each CS has a distinct collection of capabilities, some of which may be shared with other CS. The framework explores emergent behaviours that arise from communication between the CS within the SoS. These emergent behaviours are characterized by their unattainability by any individual CS and result from their collaborative nature. The identification of these emergent behaviours enablesSystem of Systems Engineering (SoSE) to pinpoint the most valuable configurations of the SoS, thereby maximizing the collective value. Furthermore, these emergent behaviours aid in stipulating design requirements for new systems based on the capabilities outlined in the SoS study. To map the relationship between needs, capabilities, requirements, and behaviours, maintaining traceability throughout the study is paramount. This research employs workflows created using the Remote Component Environment (RCE), a specialized tool for structured and automated task development. The objective is to showcase RCE's integration capabilitiesspecifically for software tools and Python scripts- with task scheduling. This integration enables swift extraction of results, making them available at every step, thus augmenting analysis efficiency. The study focuses on the perspective of an aircraft designer during the early concept generation phase, specifically applied to the development of an electric Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) concept for wildfire detection. 

Keywords
System of Systems, Aircraft Conceptual Design, Wildfire Detection, Agent-Based Simulation, Systems Engineering
National Category
Aerospace Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-202451 (URN)
Conference
64th International Conference of Scandinavian Simulation Society, SIMS 2023
Funder
Vinnova, 2019-05371
Available from: 2024-04-12 Created: 2024-04-12 Last updated: 2024-12-17

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Lovaco, Jorge

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