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Prehospital lactate analysis in suspected sepsis improves detection of patients with increased mortality risk: an observational study
Linköping University, Department of Biomedical and Clinical Sciences, Division of Inflammation and Infection. Linköping University, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences. Region Östergötland, Medicine Center, Department of Infectious Diseases.
Region Östergötland, Medicine Center, Department of Infectious Diseases.
Linköping University, Department of Biomedical and Clinical Sciences. Linköping University, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences. Region Östergötland, Medicine Center, Department of Infectious Diseases.
Region Östergötland, Local Health Care Services in Central Östergötland, Department of Emergency Medicine in Linköping.
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2025 (English)In: Critical Care, ISSN 1364-8535, E-ISSN 1466-609X, Vol. 29, no 1, article id 38Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Background Rapid, adequate treatment is crucial to reduce mortality in sepsis. Risk stratification scores used at emergency departments (ED) are limited in detecting all septic patients with increased mortality risk. We assessed whether the addition of prehospital lactate analysis to clinical risk stratification tools improves detection of patients with increased risk for rapid deterioration and death in sepsis. Methods A10-month observational study with consecutive, prospective prehospital inclusion of adult patients with suspected sepsis. Prehospital lactate was used as a continuous variable and in intervals. Analyses of patient subgroups with high and lower priorities according to Rapid Emergency Triage and Treatment System (RETTS) and National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) were performed. Primary outcome was 30-day mortality, secondary outcomes were sepsis at the ED and in-hospital mortality. Results In all, 714 patients were included with a 30-day mortality of 10%. Among the 322 cases (45%) fulfilling Sepsis-3 criteria, the 30-day mortality was 14%. Prehospital lactate was higher among non-survivors (2.6 vs 2.0 mmol/L, p < 0.001). Mortality at different lactate intervals were: 6.7%, at 0-2 mmol/l; 10.0% at > 2-3 mmol/l; 19.2% at > 3-4 mmol/l; and 17.0% at levels > 4 mmol/l. The highest RETTS priority (red) group had higher lactate levels than the lower (non-red) priority group (2.5 vs 1.9 mmol/L, p < 0.001). In the non-red group, prehospital lactate was higher among non-survivors (2.4 vs 1.8 mmol/L, p = 0.002). In the multivariable regression analysis, prehospital lactate > 3 mmol/l was a predictor of 30-day mortality (OR 2.20, p = 0.009) This association was even stronger in the lower priority RETTS non-red group (OR 3.02, p = 0.009). Adding prehospital lactate > 3 mmol/l increased identification of non-survivors from 48 to 68% in the RETTS red group and from 77 to 85% for the NEWS2 >= 7 group. Conclusion The addition of a prehospital lactate level > 3 mmol/l improved early recognition of individuals with increased mortality risk in a cohort with suspected sepsis admitted to the ED. This was particularly evident in patients whose risk stratification scores did not indicate severe illness. We suggest that the addition of prehospital lactate analysis could improve recognition of subjects with suspected sepsis and increased mortality risk.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
BioMed Central (BMC), 2025. Vol. 29, no 1, article id 38
Keywords [en]
Lactate; Mortality; Sepsis; Infection; Triage; RETTS; NEWS2; Prehospital; Emergency department; Risk stratification score
National Category
Cardiology and Cardiovascular Disease
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-211279DOI: 10.1186/s13054-024-05225-2ISI: 001402548100001PubMedID: 39838391OAI: oai:DiVA.org:liu-211279DiVA, id: diva2:1934052
Note

Funding Agencies|Linkoping University; Region Ostergotland [ROE-991221]; Research Council in Southeast Sweden [FORSS-666341]; Department of Infectious Diseases, Region Ostergotland

Available from: 2025-02-03 Created: 2025-02-03 Last updated: 2026-02-13
In thesis
1. Early Detection and Management of Sepsis
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Early Detection and Management of Sepsis
2026 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Sepsis is a life-threatening organ dysfunction caused by a dysregulated response to infection, with mortality from 10–15%, up to 40% in septic shock. Timely antibiotics reduce mortality but rely on early identification, which is challenged by the heterogeneous early presentation. Effective risk stratification improves timely detection of patients at risk of rapid deterioration and death. The aims of this thesis were to examine early detection and treatment in acute care,identify risk factors, and explore the association between blood culture positivity, site of infection, sepsis, and mortality.

The importance of early treatment was underscored in Study I,where inappropriate initial antibiotic therapy increased mortality risk among the most severely ill (OR 10.42). Study II, showed that a prehospital delay more >24 hours (OR 6.17) and incorrect empirical antibiotic treatment (OR 5.50) were strong risk factors for mortality.

In both studies, the highest triage priority level (RETTS red) failed to detect >50% of patients who died within 30 days. In Study III prehospital lactate >3mmol/L was a predictor of mortality in patients with suspected sepsis (OR 2.20), even stronger among patients with lower triage priority (RETTS non-red) (OR3.02), and. Adding prehospital lactate >3mmol/L to increase priority among RETTS nonred improved early detection with a number needed to treat of (NNT) 9.1. In Study IV, BC positives presented more disease severity and inflammation but no difference in mortality compared to BC negatives (10.8%). Abdominal infections were associated with BC positivity (OR 2.35) and respiratory infections with BC negativity (OR 0.30). UTI was associated with lower mortality risk (OR 0.23).

In summary, improved knowledge and risk stratification are needed to enhance outcomes, and prehospital lactate >3 mmol/L may support earlier detection.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Linköping: Linköping University Electronic Press, 2026. p. 116
Series
Linköping University Medical Dissertations, ISSN 0345-0082 ; 2019
Keywords
sepsis, risk stratification, lactate, emergency department, mortality, prehospital, RETTS, NEWS2, bacteremia, risk factors, community-acquired infections
National Category
Cardiology and Cardiovascular Disease
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-221217 (URN)10.3384/9789181183832 (DOI)9789181183825 (ISBN)9789181183832 (ISBN)
Public defence
2026-03-13, Berzeliussalen, ing 65, Campus US, Linköping, 09:00
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Available from: 2026-02-13 Created: 2026-02-13 Last updated: 2026-02-13Bibliographically approved

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