Bitcoin and Ethereum Classic in Times of Crisis: A Volatility Analysis
2025 (English)Independent thesis Basic level (degree of Bachelor), 10 credits / 15 HE credits
Student thesis
Abstract [en]
This thesis analyzes the volatility behavior of two cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum Classic (ETC), across three phases surrounding the COVID-19 pandemic: pre-pandemic, duringpandemic, and post-pandemic. We assess differences in return volatility and downside risk using GARCH (1,1) models and a modified Value-at-Risk (VaR) approach based on the CornishFisher expansion. We find that BTC, as a large-cap asset, displays more structured volatility patterns and stabilizes more quickly, whereas ETC, a small-cap coin, exhibits more erratic and sentiment-driven volatility. These differences are most pronounced during crisis conditions, where BTC may act as a volatility transmitter and ETC as a volatility amplifier. The findings support the hypothesis that market capitalization plays a key role in determining both persistence and systemic transmission of volatility. Offering practical insights for investors, risk managers, and policymakers navigating crypto-related risks.
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2025. , p. 31
Keywords [en]
Bitcoin, COVID-19, Cryptocurrency, Ethereum Classic, GARCH, Market Capitalization, Value at Risk, Volatility
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-215912ISRN: LIU-IEI-FIL-G--25/03273--SEOAI: oai:DiVA.org:liu-215912DiVA, id: diva2:1980770
Subject / course
Bachelor Thesis in Economics
Supervisors
2025-07-032025-07-022025-07-03Bibliographically approved