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Getting a Grip on Secular Changes: Age-Period-Cohort Modeling of Grip Strength in the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing
Oregon Hlth & Sci Univ, OR 97239 USA.
SUNY Stony Brook, NY 11794 USA.
SUNY Stony Brook, NY 11794 USA.
Univ Victoria, Canada.
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2022 (English)In: The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences, ISSN 1079-5006, E-ISSN 1758-535X, Vol. 77, no 7, p. 1413-1420Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Background Grip strength is a popular and valuable measure in studies of physical functional capabilities in old age. The influence of historical trends and differential period-specific exposures can complicate the interpretation of biomarkers of aging and health and requires careful analysis and interpretation of aging, birth cohort, and period effects. This study evaluates the effects of aging, period, and cohort on grip strength in a population of adults and older adults. Methods We use more than 27 000 observations for individuals at least 50 years of age, born in approximately 1910-1960, from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing to examine a variety of multilevel and cross-classified modeling approaches to evaluate age, period, and cohort effects. Our results extended Hierarchical Age-Period-Cohort modeling and compared our results with a set of 9 submodels with explicit assumptions to determine the most reliable modeling approach. Results Findings suggest grip strength is primarily related to age, with minimal evidence of either period and/or cohort effects. Each years increase in a persons age was associated with a 0.40-kg decrease in grip strength, though this decline differs by gender. Conclusions We conclude that as the population ages, grip strength declines at a systematic and predictable rate equal to -0.40 kg per year (approximately -0.50 kg for men and -0.30 kg for women) in residents of England aged 50 and older. Age effects were predominant and most consistent across methodologies. While there was some evidence for cohort effects, such effects were minimal and therefore indicative that grip strength is a consistent physiological biomarker of aging.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
OXFORD UNIV PRESS INC , 2022. Vol. 77, no 7, p. 1413-1420
Keywords [en]
Age-period-cohort modeling; Grip strength; Secular change
National Category
Gerontology, specialising in Medical and Health Sciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-183271DOI: 10.1093/gerona/glab192ISI: 000755811200001PubMedID: 34244743OAI: oai:DiVA.org:liu-183271DiVA, id: diva2:1642978
Note

Funding Agencies|National Institute on Aging of the National Institutes of HealthUnited States Department of Health & Human ServicesNational Institutes of Health (NIH) - USANIH National Institute on Aging (NIA) [1R01AG067621]

Available from: 2022-03-08 Created: 2022-03-08 Last updated: 2023-06-02

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Wänström, Linda
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The Division of Statistics and Machine LearningFaculty of Arts and SciencesEducation, Teaching and LearningFaculty of Educational Sciences
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