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Elicitation, analysis and mitigation of systemic pandemic risks
Centre for Integrated Emergency Management (CIEM), University of Agder.
University of Agder, Dept. of Psychosocial Health and Kristiansand municipality, Dept. of Research and Innovation.
CRIMEDIM - Center for Research and Training in Disaster Medicine, Humanitarian Aid and Global Health (Università del Piemonte Orientale).
Linköping University, Department of Computer and Information Science, Human-Centered systems. Linköping University, Faculty of Arts and Sciences. Region Östergötland, Regionledningskontoret, Center for Disaster Medicine and Traumatology.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-2771-2705
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2021 (English)In: Proceedings of the 18th ISCRAM Conference, 2021, p. 581-596Conference paper, Published paper (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

The Covid-19 pandemic has disrupted the health care system and affected all sectors of society, including criticalinfrastructures. In turn, the impact on society’s infrastructures has impacted back on the health care sector. Theseinteractions have created a system of associated risks and outcomes, where the outcomes of risks are risksthemselves and where the resulting consequences are complex vicious cycles. Traditional risks assessmentmethods cannot cope with interdependent risks.This paper describes a novel risk systemicity approach to elicit and mitigate the systemic risks of a majorpandemic. The approach employed the internet-based software strategyfinder™ in workshops to elicit relevantrisk information from sixteen appropriately selected experts from the health care sector and major sectors impactedby and impacting back on the health care sector. The risk information was processed with powerful analyticaltools of strategyfinder to allow the experts to prioritise portfolios of strategies attacking the vicious cycles. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2021. p. 581-596
Keywords [en]
Systemic risk, cascading effects, vicious cycles, risk system analysis, risk mitigation, cascading effects, vicious cycles, risk system analysis, risk mitigation, Public health. Hygiene. Preventive Medicine, Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health, Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality
National Category
Information Systems
Research subject
Disaster Medicine
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-183819ISBN: 9781949373615 (print)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:liu-183819DiVA, id: diva2:1646672
Conference
Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management (ISCRAM) Blacksburg, VA, USA, May 23-26, 2021.
Available from: 2022-03-23 Created: 2022-03-23 Last updated: 2022-04-01Bibliographically approved

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Berggren, PeterJonson, Carl-Oscar

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Human-Centered systemsFaculty of Arts and SciencesCenter for Disaster Medicine and TraumatologyDivision of Surgery, Orthopedics and OncologyFaculty of Medicine and Health Sciences
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CiteExportLink to record
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Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • oxford
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
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  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
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Output format
  • html
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  • asciidoc
  • rtf