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Particle-based online estimation of tangent filters with application to parameter estimation in nonlinear state-space models
KTH, Matematisk statistik, Sverige.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0772-846X
KTH, Matematisk statistik, Sverige.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9565-7686
2020 (English)In: Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, ISSN 0020-3157, E-ISSN 1572-9052, Vol. 72, no 2, p. 545-576Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

This paper presents a novel algorithm for efficient online estimation of the filter derivatives in general hidden Markov models. The algorithm, which has a linear computational complexity and very limited memory requirements, is furnished with a number of convergence results, including a central limit theorem with an asymptotic variance that can be shown to be uniformly bounded in time. Using the proposed filter derivative estimator, we design a recursive maximum likelihood algorithm updating the parameters according the gradient of the one-step predictor log-likelihood. The efficiency of this online parameter estimation scheme is illustrated in a simulation study.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
SPRINGER HEIDELBERG , 2020. Vol. 72, no 2, p. 545-576
Keywords [en]
Parameter estimation, Recursive maximum likelihood, State-space models, Tangent filter, Sequential Monte Carlo methods, Central limit theorem, Particle filters
National Category
Control Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-188706DOI: 10.1007/s10463-018-0698-1ISI: 000515352900009Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85056818631OAI: oai:DiVA.org:liu-188706DiVA, id: diva2:1697873
Available from: 2020-03-25 Created: 2022-09-22 Last updated: 2022-09-22

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Olsson, JimmyWesterborn, Johan

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