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A Quantitative Framework for the Road-mapping of Autonomous Defense Technologies
Linköping University, Department of Management and Engineering. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering.
Linköping University, Department of Management and Engineering. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering.
Saab AB, Linkoping, Sweden.
2024 (English)In: 18TH ANNUAL IEEE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEMS CONFERENCE, SYSCON 2024, IEEE , 2024Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Technology roadmapping serves as a strategic tool to support robust methods of allocating resources across various technological domains. This study introduces a game-theoretic model to simulate the evolutionary trajectories of autonomous defense systems, steered by the investment decisions of two competing sovereign actors within a shared strategic environment. The model identifies optimal strategies for technological advancement, represented by equilibrium states in a zero-sum military simulation. To approximate the selection of these optimal pathways, Local Symplectic Surgery (LSS) is employed, with its payoff evaluated by the likelihood of victory in simulated combat scenarios. Finally, a case is studied to demonstrate the feasibility of the proposed approach.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
IEEE , 2024.
Series
Annual IEEE Systems Conference, ISSN 1944-7620, E-ISSN 2472-9647
Keywords [en]
technology roadmapping; game theory; saddle point optimization; Salvo combat model
National Category
Computer Sciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-206965DOI: 10.1109/SysCon61195.2024.10553557ISI: 001259228200087ISBN: 9798350358810 (print)ISBN: 9798350358803 (electronic)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:liu-206965DiVA, id: diva2:1892639
Conference
18th Annual IEEE International Systems Conference (SysCon), Montreal, CANADA, apr 15-18, 2024
Available from: 2024-08-27 Created: 2024-08-27 Last updated: 2024-08-27

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CiteExportLink to record
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Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
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  • oxford
  • Other style
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Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf