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Melanoma Incidence and Mortality Trends in Sweden
Karolinska Inst, Sweden; Karolinska Univ Hosp, Sweden.
Linköping University, Department of Biomedical and Clinical Sciences, Division of Surgery, Orthopedics and Oncology. Linköping University, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences. Region Östergötland, Regionledningskontoret, Regional Cancer Center.
Karolinska Inst, Sweden; Karolinska Univ Hosp, Sweden.
Skane Univ Hosp, Sweden; Lund Univ, Sweden; Helsingborg Hosp, Sweden.
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2024 (English)In: JAMA dermatology, ISSN 2168-6068, E-ISSN 2168-6084, Vol. 160, no 11, p. 1201-Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Importance Over the past decades, many global regions have experienced a steady increase in the incidence of cutaneous melanoma. However, more recently, a downward trend has been observed in the younger age groups in Australia and the US. Yet, in Europe, none of the countries have reported any significant decline in melanoma incidence for any age group. Objective To assess melanoma incidence and mortality trends in Sweden, with a focus on individuals younger than the average age of melanoma onset. Design, Setting, and Participants This cohort study used data on the national population from the Swedish Melanoma Registry and the Swedish Cancer Registry, which cover more than 99% of all primary invasive cutaneous melanomas diagnosed in the country. All patients diagnosed from 1990 to 2022 were included. Main Outcomes and Measures Incidence and mortality rates per 100 000 inhabitants were calculated for each year and shown as average annual rates for every 5-year period from 1990 to 2022. Joinpoint regression models were used to evaluate statistical significance of temporal trends and points of change. Results There were 34 800 primary invasive cutaneous melanomas (19 582 [56.3%] in females and 15 218 [43.7%] in males) reported in 33 324 individuals younger than 60 years (median [IQR] age, 48 [36-58] years) from 1990 to 2022. A consistent rise in melanoma incidence was observed among those 50 to 59 years old. The age groups from 20 to 29 years, 30 to 39 years, and 40 to 49 years showed an incidence peak in 2013 to 2015 followed by stable or significantly declining rates until 2022. In patients younger than 20 years, melanoma incidence remained low with no significant trends. There was also a significant decline in melanoma mortality among 30- to 59-year-old individuals, but not in those 60 years and older. Conclusions and Relevance The findings of this cohort study showed a significant recent downward trend in both melanoma incidence and melanoma mortality in the age group 30 to 49 years in Sweden. The reasons for these declines are unclear but may include UV protection, public health campaigns, changing population demographics, and the introduction of effective melanoma treatment. None of these possibilities were evaluated; further study is needed.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
AMER MEDICAL ASSOC , 2024. Vol. 160, no 11, p. 1201-
National Category
Dermatology and Venereal Diseases
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-207962DOI: 10.1001/jamadermatol.2024.3514ISI: 001311304800001PubMedID: 39245436Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85203629735OAI: oai:DiVA.org:liu-207962DiVA, id: diva2:1902893
Note

Funding Agencies|Regional Cancer Centers in Sweden; Swedish Cancer society [20 0156 F, 21 1486 Pj]; Region Stockholm [20200638]; Cancer Research Funds of Radiumhemmet [224023]; Governmental funding for health care research (ALF) [2021-YF0069]

Available from: 2024-10-02 Created: 2024-10-02 Last updated: 2025-03-01

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