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How do market volatility and risk aversion sentiment inter-influence over time? Evidence from Chinese SSE 50 ETF options
Hunan Univ, Peoples R China; Hunan Prov Key Lab Philosophy & Social Sci Ind Dig, Peoples R China.
Hunan Univ, Peoples R China; Hunan Prov Key Lab Philosophy & Social Sci Ind Dig, Peoples R China.
Hunan Univ, Peoples R China; Hunan Prov Key Lab Philosophy & Social Sci Ind Dig, Peoples R China.
Linköping University, Department of Management and Engineering, Economics. Linköping University, Faculty of Arts and Sciences. Univ Cambridge, England.
2024 (English)In: International Review of Financial Analysis, ISSN 1057-5219, E-ISSN 1873-8079, Vol. 95, article id 103440Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

We propose to implement the TVP-VAR-SV model and the spillover index approach to investigate the dynamics of mutual influences between market volatility and risk aversion sentiment (represented by variance risk premium), from aspects of realized variance (RV) and implied variance (IV). We innovatively study the evolution of volatility information transmission mechanisms by analyzing time-varying impulse response and dynamic connectedness in the Chinese market. Upon inspecting shock effects from investor sentiment to RV and IV, we discover that investor sentiment can cause sudden shocks on realized volatility but produce expansive shocks on expected volatility. As we compare spillover effects in call and put options, we find that (i) sentiments in put option contain more volatility information and can affect market volatility, while sentiments in call option primarily perceive volatility spillovers from market volatility, and (ii) investor sentiments in call (put) option become to present more volatility information in a bullish (bearish) market. Our study provides valuable insights on behavioral finance theory and portfolio risk management.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC , 2024. Vol. 95, article id 103440
Keywords [en]
Market volatility; Risk aversion sentiment; Investor sentiment; Dynamic volatility spillover; Variance risk premium
National Category
Business Administration
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-209345DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103440ISI: 001345307900001OAI: oai:DiVA.org:liu-209345DiVA, id: diva2:1912491
Note

Funding Agencies|National Natural Science Founda-tion of China [72271087, 71871088, 71971079]; Na-tional Social Science Foundation of China [21ZDA114]; Hunan Provin-cial Natural Science Foundation of China [21JJ20019]; Huxi-ang Youth Talent Support Program

Available from: 2024-11-12 Created: 2024-11-12 Last updated: 2024-11-12

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