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An Economical Viability Exploration of Three Sustainable Regional Aircraft Concepts in Sweden
Linköping University, Department of Management and Engineering, Fluid and Mechatronic Systems. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering.
Linköping University, Department of Management and Engineering, Fluid and Mechatronic Systems. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering.
Linköping University, Department of Management and Engineering, Fluid and Mechatronic Systems. Linköping University, Faculty of Science & Engineering.
2025 (English)Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

The aviation industry is under increasing pressure towards de-carbonization and electrificationof commercial aircraft. However, their range limitations are heavily dependent ontheir expected battery energy storage capacity, and the direct operating costs of this propulsiontechnology are still not well understood. This paper provides a forecast of mission and directoperating costs of two fully electric commuter airplanes resembling the EL19 and the EviationAlice, as well as a hybrid-electric aircraft resembling the Do328HE, operating in Sweden inthe 2030 to 2070 time frame. NASA’s forecast for battery specific energy is used as inputfor aircraft models, allowing for the estimation of the maximum expected range under threescenarios: pessimistic, nominal, and optimistic, along with its respective direct operating costs.Results suggest that fully electric technology could become feasible for short domestic routesin Sweden in 2040, with the hybrid-electric model being able to cover longer routes earlier.Direct operating cost models project lower expenses for electric and hybrid-electric conceptscompared to smaller conventional aircraft, although they still remain more costly to operatethan the larger regional aircraft they plan on replacing. This research stresses the need forrealistic technological forecasting and financial awareness in developing sustainable aircraftconcepts, particularly regarding the commercial viability of electrified flight in Scandinavia.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2025.
National Category
Vehicle and Aerospace Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:liu:diva-211452DOI: 10.2514/6.2025-2171OAI: oai:DiVA.org:liu-211452DiVA, id: diva2:1934795
Conference
AIAA SciTech Forum, Orlando, USA, 6-10 January, 2025
Available from: 2025-02-05 Created: 2025-02-05 Last updated: 2025-02-13

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Espinosa-Juárez, ErickJouannet, ChristopherAmadori, Kristian

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Espinosa-Juárez, ErickJouannet, ChristopherAmadori, Kristian
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CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • oxford
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf